Madureira U20 vs Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Carioca U20 Madureira U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20
Result
2:1
11/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, ,
  • 58', 🟥,
  • 85', 2 - 0, ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Madureira U20
57.6%
Draw
23.7%
Sampaio Corrêa FE U20
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 23.4% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 26% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Madureira U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madureira U20 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Madureira U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.64)
    3.84
    (3.88)
    4.84
    (4.29)
    10%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • Recent form of Madureira U20 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Sampaio Corrêa U20 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Madureira U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Madureira U20 is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Madureira U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Madureira U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Madureira U20 0:1
    29.06.2024 Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Madureira U20 2:2
    Latest results of Madureira U20
    Draw
    Taca Guanabara - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Vasco U20 (1)Portuguesa RJ U20 (8)4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2Fluminense U20 (4)Volta Redonda U20 (5)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    3Flamengo RJ U20 (2)Marica U20 (7)4 : 0, 3 : 0
    4Botafogo U20 (3)Bangu U20 (6)2 : 0, 3 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Vasco U20 (1)Fluminense U20 (4)
    2Flamengo RJ U20 (2)Botafogo U20 (3)