Result
16/03/2025 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Rio - Final
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Rodrigo Lindoso ⚽, Marcelo (A),
- 15', Max 🟨,
- 31', Rodrigo Lindoso 🟨,
- 40', Lucas Carvalho 🟨,
- 42', Renato Henrique 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Alexandre Souza ⚽, Max (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Felipe C. ↓, da Silva Freire M. V. ↑,
- 46', Wallace ↓, Jefferson Victor ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Daniel Nunes ⚽,
- 60', Lucas Carvalho ↓, Ryan Silva ↑,
- 66', 3 - 1, Ryan Silva ⚽,
- 70', Jean ↓, Caua Coutinho ↑,
- 70', Fuba ↓, Isaias ↑,
- 74', Marcelo ↓, Geovane Maranhao ↑,
- 75', 3 - 2, Jefferson Victor ⚽,
- 83', Cruz Manhaes O. 🟨,
- 83', Cruz Manhaes O. ↓, Gabriel Agu ↑,
- 89', 4 - 2, Elias (Pen),
Chances of winning
Sampaio Corrêa FE
33.8% | Draw
31.9% | Madureira
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampaio Corrêa FE's form might have worsened.Madureira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madureira's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaio Corrêa FE, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madureira than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madureira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.25) |
2.91 ↓
(3.05) |
2.72 ↓
(3.5) |
7.4%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).
- Sampaio Corrêa is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Madureira is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
How many head-to-head matches has Sampaio Corrêa FE won against Madureira?
Sampaio Corrêa FE has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Madureira won against Sampaio Corrêa FE?
Madureira has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira were as follows:
12.03.2025
Madureira
-
Sampaio Corrêa FE
1:2
06.02.2025
Madureira
-
Sampaio Corrêa FE
0:1
14.02.2024
Sampaio Corrêa FE
-
Madureira
2:1
Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa FE
Latest results of Madureira
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Flamengo RJ | Vasco | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Volta Redonda | Fluminense | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Flamengo RJ | Fluminense | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |
