Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa FE – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 3

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.970.55
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
84
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
52
Passes
85% (384/451)70% (191/272)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.970.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.911.37
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
64
Shots inside the box
166
Shots outside the box
66
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3210
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1518
Passes
85% (384/451)70% (191/272)
Long passes
62% (26/42)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
74% (73/98)43% (32/75)
Crosses
38% (6/16)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.59
Throw ins
1418
Fouls
1815
Tackles
80% (12/15)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4844
Clearances
2022
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
1.372.91
Goals prevented
0.370.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Matheus Iacovelli , Rodrigo Andrade (A),
  • 18', Rodrigo Andrade 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Ricardo Oliveira , Jean (A),
  • 36', Pablo 🟨,
  • 40', Pablo 🟨,
  • 43', Jaco 🟨,
  • 44', Rodrigo Andrade , Magno ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ewerton Potiguar , Gabriel Agu ,
  • 46', Jaco , Everton ,
  • 51', Alexandre Souza 🟨,
  • 57', Matheus Juliao 🟨,
  • 58', Vinicius Balotelli , Hericles ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Juninho ,
  • 69', Wallace Camilo , Fuba ,
  • 69', Ricardo Oliveira , Geovane Maranhao ,
  • 70', Matheus Iacovelli , Elias ,
  • 70', Alexandre Souza , Joao Martini ,
  • 70', Cruz Manhaes O. , Paulo Victor ,
  • 77', Celsinho , Julio Cesar ,

Chances of winning


Madureira
40%
Draw
31.6%
Sampaio Corrêa FE
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 29.5% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Madureira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Sampaio Corrêa FE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.08)
    2.9
    (3.15)
    3.24
    (3.59)
    8.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sampaio Corrêa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Madureira might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Madureira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Madureira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE were as follows:
    12.03.2025 Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE 1:2
    06.02.2025 Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE 0:1
    14.02.2024 Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira 2:1
    Latest results of Madureira
    17.01.2026 Bangu - Madureira 0:1
    14.01.2026 Fluminense - Madureira 2:1
    27.08.2025 Madureira - Maricá 1:2
    20.08.2025 Maricá - Madureira 4:0
    Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa FE
    Draw
    Taca Guanabara - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FluminenseBangu3 : 1
    2VascoVolta Redonda2 : 1
    3Botafogo RJFlamengo RJ1 : 2
    4MadureiraBoavista2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FluminenseVasco1 : 0
    2Flamengo RJMadureira3 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2