Portuguesa RJ vs Sampaio Corrêa FE – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
02/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca - Relegation Group - Round 5

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.031.15
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
61
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
63
Passes
85% (304/358)81% (249/309)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.031.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.80
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
55
Shots outside the box
75
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
159
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
2420
Passes
85% (304/358)81% (249/309)
Long passes
61% (36/59)59% (30/51)
Passes in final third
63% (56/89)52% (40/77)
Crosses
29% (6/21)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.47
Throw ins
820
Fouls
2024
Tackles
90% (9/10)83% (5/6)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
2619
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.801.29
Goals prevented
0.80-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Elias (Penalty Awarded),
  • 21', 1 - 0, Lohan , Lenon (A),
  • 26', Luan Gama 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Wellington Cezar 🟨,
  • 64', Rodrigo Andrade , Paulo Henrique ,
  • 65', Ewerton Potiguar , Alan ,
  • 65', Guilherme Silveira , Rhuan Silveira ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Rhuan Silveira ,
  • 77', Lucas Marreta 🟨,
  • 78', Anderson Rosa 🟨,
  • 80', Anderson Rosa , Willian ,
  • 80', Henrique Rocha , Romarinho ,
  • 81', Pablo 🟨,
  • 82', Elias , Matheus Goiano ,
  • 82', Cruz Manhaes O. , Magrao ,
  • 86', Pablo , Magno ,
  • 90+2', Lohan , Patrick ,
  • 90+2', Gutemberg , Uelber ,

Chances of winning


Portuguesa RJ
51.9%
Draw
27.8%
Sampaio Corrêa FE
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 28.8% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 29.5% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa RJ's performance.
  • Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampaio Corrêa FE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa RJ that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa FE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portuguesa RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (2.03)
    3.32
    (3.13)
    4.56
    (3.36)
    8.2%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Portuguesa RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portuguesa RJ (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Portuguesa RJ has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sampaio Corrêa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sampaio Corrêa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sampaio Corrêa has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Portuguesa RJ is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa RJ won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa RJ won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE were as follows:
    20.02.2026 Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa RJ 3:2
    22.02.2025 Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa RJ 3:1
    24.01.2024 Portuguesa RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE 1:0
    06.09.2023 Portuguesa RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE 2:2
    30.08.2023 Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa RJ 0:1
    Latest results of Portuguesa RJ
    Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa FE
    Draw
    Taca Guanabara - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FluminenseBangu3 : 1
    2VascoVolta Redonda2 : 1
    3Botafogo RJFlamengo RJ1 : 2
    4MadureiraBoavista2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FluminenseVasco1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Flamengo RJMadureira8 : 0, 3 : 0

    Final
    1FluminenseFlamengo RJ