Result
2:0
02/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Relegation Group - Round 5
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (304/358) | 81% (249/309) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (304/358) | 81% (249/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (36/59) | 59% (30/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (56/89) | 52% (40/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.80 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Elias (Penalty Awarded),
- 21', 1 - 0, Lohan ⚽, Lenon (A),
- 26', Luan Gama 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Wellington Cezar 🟨,
- 64', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
- 65', Ewerton Potiguar ↓, Alan ↑,
- 65', Guilherme Silveira ↓, Rhuan Silveira ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Rhuan Silveira ⚽,
- 77', Lucas Marreta 🟨,
- 78', Anderson Rosa 🟨,
- 80', Anderson Rosa ↓, Willian ↑,
- 80', Henrique Rocha ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 81', Pablo 🟨,
- 82', Elias ↓, Matheus Goiano ↑,
- 82', Cruz Manhaes O. ↓, Magrao ↑,
- 86', Pablo ↓, Magno ↑,
- 90+2', Lohan ↓, Patrick ↑,
- 90+2', Gutemberg ↓, Uelber ↑,
Chances of winning
Portuguesa RJ 51.9% | Draw 27.8% | Sampaio Corrêa FE 20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa RJ's performance.Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampaio Corrêa FE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa RJ that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa FE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portuguesa RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↓ (2.03) |
3.32 ↑ (3.13) |
4.56 ↑ (3.36) |
8.2% (10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Portuguesa RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portuguesa RJ (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Portuguesa RJ has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sampaio Corrêa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sampaio Corrêa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sampaio Corrêa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Portuguesa RJ is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa RJ won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa RJ won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa RJ won against Sampaio Corrêa FE?
Portuguesa RJ has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampaio Corrêa FE won against Portuguesa RJ?
Sampaio Corrêa FE has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE were as follows:
20.02.2026
Sampaio Corrêa FE
-
Portuguesa RJ
3:2
22.02.2025
Sampaio Corrêa FE
-
Portuguesa RJ
3:1
24.01.2024
Portuguesa RJ
-
Sampaio Corrêa FE
1:0
06.09.2023
Portuguesa RJ
-
Sampaio Corrêa FE
2:2
30.08.2023
Sampaio Corrêa FE
-
Portuguesa RJ
0:1
Latest results of Portuguesa RJ
Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa FE
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Bangu | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Vasco | Volta Redonda | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Madureira | Boavista | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Vasco | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Madureira | 8 : 0, 3 : 0 |
Final