Result
3:1
22/02/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 11
- Referee: Trindade A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (264/346) | 81% (335/413) |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Henrique Rocha 🟨,
- 21', Romarinho ↓, Anderson Rosa ↑,
- 24', Luan Gama 🟨,
- 25', Eduardo Thuram 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Wellington Cezar ↓, Willian ↑,
- 46', Kaike ↓, Lucas Santos ↑,
- 46', Elias ↓, Matheus Iacovelli ↑,
- 56', Pablo 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 0, Max ⚽, Pablo (A),
- 63', 2 - 0, Matheus Iacovelli ⚽, Max (A),
- 70', 3 - 0, Max ⚽, Alexandre Souza (A),
- 74', Victor Pereira ↓, Henrique C. ↑,
- 77', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 78', Henrique Rocha ↓, Helio Paraiba ↑,
- 83', Ryan Silva ↓, Gabriel Agu ↑,
- 83', Alexandre Souza ↓, Rodrigo Dantas ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Helio Paraiba ⚽, Willian (A),
- 90', Luan Gama ↓, Lucas Marreta ↑,
- 90', Cruz Manhaes O. ↓, Evenilson ↑,
- 90+1', Marcus Vinicius 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sampaio Corrêa FE
39.5% | Draw
29.1% | Portuguesa RJ
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampaio Corrêa FE's form might have worsened.Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portuguesa RJ's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaio Corrêa FE, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portuguesa RJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(1.9) |
3.17 ↓
(3.37) |
2.93 ↓
(3.93) |
8.7%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 11).
- Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Portuguesa RJ is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sampaio Corrêa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Sampaio Corrêa FE won against Portuguesa RJ?
Sampaio Corrêa FE has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa RJ won against Sampaio Corrêa FE?
Portuguesa RJ has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa RJ were as follows:
24.01.2024
Portuguesa RJ
-
Sampaio Corrêa FE
1:0
06.09.2023
Portuguesa RJ
-
Sampaio Corrêa FE
2:2
30.08.2023
Sampaio Corrêa FE
-
Portuguesa RJ
0:1
Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa FE
Latest results of Portuguesa RJ
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Flamengo RJ | Vasco | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Volta Redonda | Fluminense | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Flamengo RJ | Fluminense | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |
