Maranhão vs Sampaio Corrêa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa
28/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
46
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
99
Corner Kicks
46
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Clessione ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', 2 - 0, Dudu ,

Chances of winning


Maranhão
35.4%
Draw
36.3%
Sampaio Corrêa
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 30.2% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 30.7% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampaio Corrêa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.87)
    2.54
    (3)
    3.26
    (2.37)
    8.5%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maranhão won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Maranhão won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maranhão won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão 1:1
    23.04.2025 Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão 0:3
    15.03.2025 Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa 1:0
    15.06.2024 Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa 0:1
    29.05.2024 Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão 1:0
    Latest results of Maranhão
    15.06.2025 Parnahyba - Maranhão 2:2
    08.06.2025 Maranhão - Iguatu 1:1
    30.05.2025 Iguatu - Maranhão 1:0
    24.05.2025 Maranhão - Parnahyba 1:1
    Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa
    11.06.2025 Altos - Sampaio Corrêa 1:1
    07.06.2025 Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará 1:2
    31.05.2025 Sampaio Corrêa - Altos 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1