Sampaio Corrêa vs Tuntum – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense Sampaio Corrêa - Tuntum
Result
1:1
15/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Maranhense - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Jair ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 69', 🟥,
  • 89', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Sampaio Corrêa
65.5%
Draw
22.9%
Tuntum
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 26% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 25% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampaio Corrêa's performance.
  • Tuntum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tuntum might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuntum than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuntum could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sampaio Corrêa - Tuntum Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.62)
    4
    (3.5)
    7.93
    (5.08)
    9.2%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Relegation ~ Maranhense 2).
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • Tuntum could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Tuntum have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Sampaio Corrêa is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa
    Latest results of Tuntum
    02.04.2025 Tuntum - Maranhão 1:0
    21.03.2025 Maranhão - Tuntum 1:0
    18.03.2025 IAPE - Tuntum 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1ImperatrizSampaio Correa2 : 0, 1 : 2
    2MaranhaoIAPE0 : 1, 4 : 0

    Final
    1ImperatrizMaranhao0 : 2, 0 : 0