Result
1:0
27/02/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 24
- Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Lazio
67.8% | Draw
21% | Sampdoria
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-28.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lazio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lazio - Sampdoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.45) |
4.57 ↑
(4.3) |
8.57 ↑
(7.31) |
4.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lazio - Sampdoria?
Users Predictions:
141 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 127 - 90.1%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 11 - 7.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 2.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 85.2% – 95%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Lazio has the most likely position - 5 (23.63%), has project points - 64, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (30%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Sampdoria has the most likely position - 19 (39.73%), has project points - 25, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 57, importance 44, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lazio won 3.
- Recent matches Lazio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Sampdoria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Sampdoria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lazio is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Lazio: Radu S.
(Muscle Injury)
Romagnoli A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Conti A.
(Tendon Injury)
Pussetto I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lazio: Pedro
(Broken nose)
- There are questionable in Sampdoria: Gunter K.
(Injury)
Murillo J.
(Injury)
- Last 21 head-to-head matches Lazio won 15 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 46-18.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 29-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Sampdoria?
Lazio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Lazio?
Sampdoria has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Sampdoria were as follows:
31.08.2022
Sampdoria
-
Lazio
1:1
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | AS Roma | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Inter | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Bologna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Como | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Cagliari | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Udinese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Lazio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Torino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Verona | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 3 |
| 19 | Genoa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 20 | Pisa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
