Result
1:0
27/02/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 24
- Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Lazio
67.8% | Draw
21% | Sampdoria
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-28.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lazio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lazio - Sampdoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.45) |
4.56 ↑
(4.3) |
8.57 ↑
(7.31) |
4.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lazio - Sampdoria?
Users Predictions:
141 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 127 - 90.1%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 11 - 7.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 2.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 85.2% – 95%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Lazio has the most likely position - 5 (23.63%), has project points - 64, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (30%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Sampdoria has the most likely position - 19 (39.73%), has project points - 25, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 57, importance 44, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lazio won 3.
- Recent matches Lazio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Sampdoria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Sampdoria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lazio is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Lazio: Radu S.
(Muscle Injury)
Romagnoli A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Conti A.
(Tendon Injury)
Pussetto I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lazio: Pedro
(Broken nose)
- There are questionable in Sampdoria: Gunter K.
(Injury)
Murillo J.
(Injury)
- Last 21 head-to-head matches Lazio won 15 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 46-18.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 29-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Sampdoria?
Lazio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Lazio?
Sampdoria has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Sampdoria were as follows:
31.08.2022
Sampdoria
-
Lazio
1:1
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 64:21 | 43 | 67 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:20 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Napoli | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 37:19 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Como | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 48 |
| 6 | Juventus | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 46:28 | 18 | 47 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 37:24 | 13 | 45 |
| 8 | Bologna | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | Udinese | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 | Lazio | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
| 12 | Parma | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 20:32 | -12 | 33 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Torino | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27:47 | -20 | 30 |
| 15 | Genoa | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 24 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 21:38 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Lecce | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 27 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 20:44 | -24 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 20:48 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
