Result
1:0
27/02/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 24
- Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Australia | beIN Sports |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 France | beIN Sports |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | CMore Fotboll |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
 World | Setanta Sports Eurasia |
Chances of winning
Lazio
67.8% | Draw
21% | Sampdoria
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-28.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lazio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lazio - Sampdoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.45) |
4.56 ↑
(4.3) |
8.57 ↑
(7.31) |
4.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lazio - Sampdoria?
Users Predictions:
141 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 127 - 90.1%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 11 - 7.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 2.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 85.2% – 95%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Lazio has the most likely position - 5 (23.63%), has project points - 64, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (30%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Sampdoria has the most likely position - 19 (39.73%), has project points - 25, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 57, importance 44, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lazio won 3.
- Recent matches Lazio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Sampdoria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Sampdoria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lazio is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Lazio: Radu S.
(Muscle Injury)
Romagnoli A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Conti A.
(Tendon Injury)
Pussetto I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lazio: Pedro
(Broken nose)
- There are questionable in Sampdoria: Gunter K.
(Injury)
Murillo J.
(Injury)
- Last 21 head-to-head matches Lazio won 15 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 46-18.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 29-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Sampdoria?
Lazio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Lazio?
Sampdoria has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Sampdoria were as follows:
31.08.2022
Sampdoria
-
Lazio
1:1
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter ✔ | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 82:31 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | Napoli | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 70 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 35 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 48:29 | 19 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 58:30 | 28 | 65 |
| 5 | AS Roma | 35 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 52:29 | 23 | 64 |
| 6 | Como | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:28 | 31 | 62 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 47:32 | 15 | 55 |
| 8 | Lazio | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 51 |
| 9 | Bologna | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42:41 | 1 | 49 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 49 |
| 11 | Udinese | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 43:46 | -3 | 47 |
| 12 | Parma | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 39:58 | -19 | 41 |
| 14 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 40:48 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 37 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 38:49 | -11 | 37 |
| 17 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24:47 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27:53 | -26 | 28 |
| 19 | Verona ✔ | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24:57 | -33 | 20 |
| 20 | Pisa ✔ | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Verona is Relegated to Serie B
Pisa is Relegated to Serie B
