Result
3:2
21/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 6
- Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (275/351) | 77% (275/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (275/351) | 77% (275/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (32/63) | 36% (15/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (56/83) | 63% (83/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | 0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Cukur T. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Satka L. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 49', Cift Y. E. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 1, Cinar A. (Own goal),
- 54', 2 - 1, Ndiaye C. ⚽, Holse C. (A),
- 57', Doh M. ↓, Larsson S. ↑,
- 65', Ndiaye C. ↓, Marius ↑,
- 68', Ozcan B. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
- 68', Gray A. ↓, Fofana D. D. ↑,
- 70', Coulibaly T. ↓, Yuksel C. ↑,
- 77', Musaba A. 🟨,
- 77', Esgaio R. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 2, Fofana D. D. ⚽, Larsson S. (A),
- 85', Cift Y. E. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
- 87', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 89', Serginho ↓, Camacho J. ↑,
- 89', Cinar A. ↓, Ugrekhelidze N. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Musaba A. ⚽, Tomasson L. (A),
Chances of winning
Samsunspor
52.4% | Draw
27.3% | Fatih Karagümrükspor
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samsunspor's form might have worsened.Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Samsunspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.58) |
3.54 ↓
(3.94) |
4.74 ↓
(5.27) |
3%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, Samsunspor is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Kilinc E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Samsunspor: Aydogdu S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Karagümrük: Sivri A.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Samsunspor has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Samsunspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
25.05.2024
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Samsunspor
3:1
06.02.2024
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Samsunspor
2:1
06.01.2024
Samsunspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:0
Latest results of Samsunspor
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20:3 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Goztepe | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Gaziantep | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Besiktas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Konyaspor | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Basaksehir | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
