Result
0:0
22/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 23
- Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (276/354) | 88% (601/684) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (276/354) | 88% (601/684) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 55% (34/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (50/76) | 72% (87/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Mendes J. 🟨,
- 73', Ozcan B. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
- 73', Babicka S. ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 76', Yavru Z. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
- 76', Ndiaye C. ↓, Marius ↑,
- 76', Makoumbou A. ↓, Kayan Y. ↑,
- 84', Larsson S. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
- 84', Verde D. ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
- 84', Kalayci B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
30% | Draw
29.7% | Samsunspor
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fatih Karagümrükspor's performance.Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samsunspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fatih Karagümrükspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samsunspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↓
(4.33) |
3.19 ↓
(3.73) |
2.33 ↑
(1.79) |
5.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Samsunspor?
Users Predictions:
Samsunspor will win
(18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Samsunspor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 2.
- Karagümrük is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Samsunspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Karagümrük may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Samsunspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly T.
(Knee Injury)
Kilinc E.
(Inactive)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Inactive)
Johnson D.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Samsunspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Samsunspor has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Samsunspor were as follows:
21.09.2025
Samsunspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
3:2
25.05.2024
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Samsunspor
3:1
06.02.2024
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Samsunspor
2:1
06.01.2024
Samsunspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:0
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Samsunspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 68 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 66:28 | 38 | 66 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 56:31 | 25 | 64 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 34:38 | -4 | 39 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Kocaelispor | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 | Konyaspor | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36:41 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:49 | -11 | 34 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 29 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | Genclerbirligi | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 21:54 | -33 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 20:43 | -23 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
