San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
116:106
04/02/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 2
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
10193
Field goals made
4537
Field goals %
44.55%39.78%
2-point field goals attempts
5946
2-point field goals made
3118
2-point field goals %
52.54%39.13%
3-point field goals attempts
4247
3-point field goals made
1419
3-point field goals %
33.33%40.43%
Free throws attempts
2014
Free throws made
1213
Free throws %
60%92.9%
Offensive rebounds
189
Defensive rebounds
4537
Total rebounds
6346
Assists
2626
Blocks
89
Turnovers
1414
Steals
1110
Personal fouls
1516
Technical fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Antonio Spurs
77.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 55.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Antonio Spurs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Antonio Spurs's performance.
  • Oklahoma City Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-30.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oklahoma City Thunder might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio Spurs than the current prediction. (-32.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Antonio Spurs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oklahoma City Thunder than the current prediction. (+32.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oklahoma City Thunder could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Antonio Spurs - Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.25
    (2.05)

    4.22
    (1.77)
    3.9%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 221.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
    What is the prediction for San Antonio Spurs - Oklahoma City Thunder?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. San Antonio will win (votes: 17 - 63%). Oklahoma City will win (votes: 10 - 37%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Antonio: 44.8%81.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. San Antonio (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Oklahoma City (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • H/A, 1Q - San Antonio (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5, 3Q - Oklahoma City (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1, 2Q - Oklahoma City (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5, 4Q - San Antonio (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, 1st Half - Oklahoma City (2.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5, 1st Half - Oklahoma City (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Oklahoma City (3.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. San Antonio (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Oklahoma City (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 116:106.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • San Antonio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in San Antonio: Sochan J. (Muscle Injury) Waters III L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Oklahoma City: Mitchell A. (Abdominal strain) Sorber T. (Knee Injury) Topic N. (Groin Injury) Williams J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Antonio: Castle S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oklahoma City: Caruso A. (Groin Injury) Gilgeous-Alexander S. (Finger Injury) Hartenstein I. (Knee Injury) Holmgren C. (Back Injury) Williams J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 2202:2326. (average 110.1:116.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1147:1164. (average 114.7:116.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Antonio Spurs - Oklahoma City Thunder were as follows:
    13.01.2026 Oklahoma City Thunder - San Antonio Spurs 119:98
    25.12.2025 Oklahoma City Thunder - San Antonio Spurs 102:117
    23.12.2025 San Antonio Spurs - Oklahoma City Thunder 130:110
    13.12.2025 Oklahoma City Thunder - San Antonio Spurs 109:111
    02.03.2025 San Antonio Spurs - Oklahoma City Thunder 132:146
    Latest results of San Antonio Spurs
    Latest results of Oklahoma City Thunder
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Phoenix Suns (8)4 : 0
    2Los Angeles Lakers (4)Houston Rockets (5)3 : 1
    3San Antonio Spurs (2)Portland Trail Blazers (7)3 : 1
    4Denver Nuggets (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)2 : 3
    5Detroit Pistons (1)Orlando Magic (8)1 : 3
    6Cleveland Cavaliers (4)Toronto Raptors (5)2 : 2
    7Boston Celtics (2)Philadelphia 76ers (7)3 : 1
    8New York Knicks (3)Atlanta Hawks (6)2 : 2