Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        21/09/2025 at  20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Primera Division - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Costa-rica | FUTV | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 44% | 56% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 6 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 6 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 14 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Fuller K. ⚽, 
- 25', Castro G. 🟨, 
- 33', Lesme F. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Baltodano J. ↓, Martinez C. ↑, 
- 60', Francis W. 🟨, 
- 63', Lesme F. ↓, Chevez A. ↑, 
- 63', Leiva G. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑, 
- 63', Chirino R. ↓, Azofeifa W. ↑, 
- 63', Cordoba R. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑, 
- 63', McDonald J. ↓, Diaz D. ↑, 
- 76', Castillo G. ↓, Oviedo B. ↑, 
- 85', Padilla S. ↓, Orellano L. ↑, 
- 85', Fuller K. ↓, Pena R. ↑, 
- 88', Aguero J. 🟨, 
- 90+1', Pena R. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Municipal Liberia 57.5%
 | Draw 24.5%
 | San Carlos 18%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal Liberia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Municipal Liberia's performance.San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (+3.4%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Municipal Liberia - San Carlos Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.63 ↓ (1.78)
 | 3.82 ↑ (3.5)
 | 5.22 ↑ (4.24)
 | 6.9% (8.4%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Municipal Liberia - San Carlos?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Municipal Liberia will win 
                    (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 2.
- Municipal Liberia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- San Carlos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- San Carlos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Municipal Liberia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Municipal Liberia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Municipal Liberia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Municipal Liberia won against San Carlos?
                    
                    
                        
                            Municipal Liberia has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has San Carlos won against Municipal Liberia?
                    
                    
                        
                             San Carlos has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Municipal Liberia - San Carlos were as follows:
                                                        
                                09.08.2025 
                                San Carlos 
                                - 
                                Municipal Liberia 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.04.2025 
                                Municipal Liberia 
                                - 
                                San Carlos 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                28.02.2025 
                                San Carlos 
                                - 
                                Municipal Liberia 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.11.2024 
                                Municipal Liberia 
                                - 
                                San Carlos 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.07.2024 
                                San Carlos 
                                - 
                                Municipal Liberia 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Municipal Liberia                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of San Carlos                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Costa Rican Primera Division Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Alajuelense | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 27 | 
| 2 | Saprissa | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 26 | 
| 3 | Liberia | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 23 | 
| 4 | Cartagines | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 | 
| 5 | Zeledon | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 | 
| 6 | Puntarenas FC | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 16 | 
| 7 | Herediano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 16 | 
| 8 | Sporting San Jose | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 14 | 
| 9 | Guadalupe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 13 | 
| 10 | San Carlos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | 
      Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)