San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:11
22/03/2026 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLB - Spring Training

Match Stats

Hits
516
Errors
00
2B - double
12
3B - triple
02
Home runs
14
Runs batted in
111
Left on base
78
Base on balls
24
Strikeouts
1111
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3142
Batting average
0.1610.381

Chances of winning


San Diego Padres
60.2%
Arizona Diamondbacks
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 46%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego Padres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Diego Padres's performance.
  • Arizona Diamondbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arizona Diamondbacks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Diego Padres that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona Diamondbacks than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arizona Diamondbacks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Diego Padres - Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.78)

    2.4
    (2.07)
    4.4%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 11.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for San Diego Padres - Arizona Diamondbacks?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Arizona will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arizona (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 7:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 4.
    • Recent performances by San Diego have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Arizona is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Diego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Arizona has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 97:96. (average 4.9:4.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 50:50. (average 5:5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Padres - Arizona Diamondbacks were as follows:
    15.03.2026 Arizona Diamondbacks - San Diego Padres 4:4
    28.09.2025 San Diego Padres - Arizona Diamondbacks 12:4
    27.09.2025 San Diego Padres - Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1
    26.09.2025 San Diego Padres - Arizona Diamondbacks 7:4
    06.08.2025 Arizona Diamondbacks - San Diego Padres 2:3
    Latest results of Arizona Diamondbacks
    MLB Spring Training Table
    2026

    Grapefruit
    PlWDLPCT
    1Atlanta Braves302127163:1130.750
    2St.Louis Cardinals281729119:1060.654
    3New York Yankees3119012153:1370.613
    4Pittsburgh Pirates3017013143:1420.567
    5Washington Nationals2814311102:1060.560
    6Baltimore Orioles2913313125:1340.500
    7New York Mets2712213122:990.480
    8Toronto Blue Jays2812214136:1210.462
    9Miami Marlins271131393:1190.458
    10Boston Red Sox2913016141:1820.448
    11Houston Astros2811314111:1040.440
    12Detroit Tigers289613144:1330.409
    13Minnesota Twins3011118143:1600.379
    14Tampa Bay Rays3011118114:1420.379
    15Philadelphia Phillies2910217136:1490.370


    Cactus
    PlWDLPCT
    1Los Angeles Dodgers312029210:1730.690
    2San Francisco Giants291919176:1280.679
    3Texas Rangers3018012178:1350.600
    4Cleveland Guardians3116114186:1680.533
    5Los Angeles Angels3317115151:1860.531
    6San Diego Padres3115115187:1810.500
    7Colorado Rockies3115115202:2090.500
    8Arizona Diamondbacks3115115172:2010.500
    9Chicago White Sox3215116172:1590.484
    10Milwaukee Brewers3014016173:1550.467
    11Athletics3114116198:1880.467
    12Chicago Cubs3114017168:1830.452
    13Cincinnati Reds3114017182:2090.452
    14Seattle Mariners3111119171:2170.367
    15Kansas City Royals319121157:1890.300