Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | CBS, NBC Sports Bay Area, NWSL+ app, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (488/563) | 79% (252/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (488/563) | 79% (252/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (23/38) | 58% (26/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (132/171) | 70% (43/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 67% (16/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Wesley K. ⚽, Sanchez M. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Lema K. ⚽, Kundananji R. (A),
- 26', Sanchez M. (Pen),
- 43', Anderson J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Kundananji R. 🟨,
- 60', Sanchez M. ↓, Barcenas M. ↑,
- 60', Ascanio K. ↓, Leon A. ↑,
- 67', Dydasco C. 🟨,
- 73', Conti C. ↓, Hocking P. ↑,
- 75', Corley G. ↓, Robbe M. ↑,
- 87', Lema K. ↓, Moreau M. ↑,
- 90+5', Bailey D. ↓, Shepherd J. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Armstrong T. ⚽, Dali K. (A),
- 90+7', Morroni P. ↓, McNabb K. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Diego Wave
47.6% | Draw
26.3% | Bay FC
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Bay FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
San Diego Wave - Bay FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.81) |
3.52 ↓
(3.56) |
3.56 ↓
(3.94) |
7.9%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- San Diego Wave might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Wave won against Bay FC?
San Diego Wave has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bay FC won against San Diego Wave?
Bay FC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Wave - Bay FC were as follows:
20.07.2024
San Diego Wave
-
Bay FC
3:1
17.05.2024
Bay FC
-
San Diego Wave
2:1
27.04.2024
San Diego Wave
-
Bay FC
2:1
Latest results of San Diego Wave
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 29:10 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Orlando Pride W | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave W | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Washington Spirit W | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns W | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Seattle Reign W | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Gotham W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Bay FC W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 11 |
| 13 | Chicago W | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10:27 | -17 | 6 |
| 14 | Utah Royals W | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11:29 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
