Result
5:2
25/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (462/532) | 86% (401/467) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (462/532) | 86% (401/467) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (16/39) | 41% (11/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (81/110) | 64% (49/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.84 | -2.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Rauch F. ⚽, Matsukubo M. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Morroni P. ⚽, Cascarino D. (A),
- 28', O'Sullivan D. 🟨,
- 40', 2 - 1, Leon A. ⚽, Corley G. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 2, Matsukubo M. ⚽, Shaw J. (A),
- 54', 3 - 2, McNabb K. ⚽, Armstrong T. (A),
- 60', 4 - 2, Leon A. ⚽, Lundkvist H. (A),
- 67', Sanchez A. ↓, Betfort H. ↑,
- 70', Leon A. ↓, Carusa K. ↑,
- 70', Ascanio K. ↓, Barcenas M. ↑,
- 74', Shaw J. ↓, Koyama S. ↑,
- 74', Rauch F. ↓, Lussi T. ↑,
- 82', Corley G. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
- 90+2', Morroni P. ↓, Wesley K. ↑,
- 90+4', 5 - 2, Sanchez M. ⚽, Barcenas M. (A),
Chances of winning
San Diego Wave
46.8% | Draw
27.9% | North Carolina Courage
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)North Carolina Courage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.88) |
3.29 ↓
(3.3) |
3.63 ↓
(3.83) |
8.8%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 1.
- San Diego Wave has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- North Carolina is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, North Carolina has had a series of home games.
- San Diego Wave is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Wave won against North Carolina Courage?
San Diego Wave has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina Courage won against San Diego Wave?
North Carolina Courage has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage were as follows:
05.10.2024
North Carolina Courage
-
San Diego Wave
2:1
08.09.2024
San Diego Wave
-
North Carolina Courage
1:4
07.10.2023
North Carolina Courage
-
San Diego Wave
0:0
01.04.2023
San Diego Wave
-
North Carolina Courage
3:1
30.09.2022
San Diego Wave
-
North Carolina Courage
0:0
Latest results of San Diego Wave
Latest results of North Carolina Courage
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 29:10 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Orlando Pride W | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave W | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Washington Spirit W | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns W | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Seattle Reign W | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Gotham W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Bay FC W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 11 |
| 13 | Chicago W | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10:27 | -17 | 6 |
| 14 | Utah Royals W | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11:29 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 Usa | CBS, NWSL+ app |
