Fulgens Foligno vs San Donato Tavarnelle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group E Fulgens Foligno - San Donato Tavarnelle
Result
3:2
02/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie D - Group E - Round 26

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Carcani P. ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Tomassini S. ,
  • 25', 🟥,
  • 26', 2 - 1, Schiaroli L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 3 - 1, Schiaroli L. ,
  • 73', 3 - 2, Borgarello M. ,

Chances of winning


Fulgens Foligno
44.4%
Draw
31.7%
San Donato Tavarnelle
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 25.2% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 24.1% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fulgens Foligno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fulgens Foligno's form might have worsened.
  • San Donato Tavarnelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Donato Tavarnelle's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulgens Foligno than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fulgens Foligno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Donato Tavarnelle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fulgens Foligno - San Donato Tavarnelle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.62)
    2.84
    (3.6)
    3.75
    (4.84)
    11.4%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
    • Fulgens Foligno is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches San Donato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • San Donato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fulgens Foligno is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fulgens Foligno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fulgens Foligno - San Donato Tavarnelle were as follows:
    27.10.2024 San Donato Tavarnelle - Fulgens Foligno 1:1
    Latest results of Fulgens Foligno
    Latest results of San Donato Tavarnelle
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1