Melilla vs San Fernando – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Melilla - San Fernando
Result
1:0
05/05/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Koffi , Macias A. ,
  • 16', Siddiki O. 🟨,
  • 21', Biabiany J. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Caro J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Selasi R. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 62', Alassan A. , Jose Enrique ,
  • 64', Lopez A. , Herrera C. ,
  • 64', Biabiany J. , Arroyo N. ,
  • 71', Ribeiro , Sanchez M. ,
  • 80', Ruiz V. 🟨,
  • 81', Masogo A. , Molina D. ,
  • 83', Siddiki O. , Garcia D. ,
  • 83', Morillo V. , Bandaogo A. ,
  • 88', Yuste A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Melilla
26.5%
Draw
29.5%
San Fernando
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 31.4% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 27.7% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melilla's form might have worsened.
  • San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Fernando's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Fernando, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melilla - San Fernando Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (2.47)
    3.13
    (2.89)
    2.08
    (2.86)
    9%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Melilla won 3.
    • Melilla is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • San Fernando has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • San Fernando will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Melilla won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melilla - San Fernando were as follows:
    26.11.2023 San Fernando - Melilla 4:1
    Latest results of Melilla
    28.04.2024 Castellón - Melilla 1:0
    21.04.2024 Melilla - Mérida AD 2:0
    14.04.2024 Real Murcia - Melilla 2:0
    07.04.2024 Ibiza - Melilla 4:3
    Latest results of San Fernando
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3