San Giovanni Valdarno vs Basket Costa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
95:74
28/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A2 Women - Gr. A - Round 25

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7866
Field goals made
3523
Field goals %
44.87%34.85%
2-point field goals attempts
5635
2-point field goals made
2712
2-point field goals %
48.21%34.29%
3-point field goals attempts
2231
3-point field goals made
811
3-point field goals %
36.36%35.48%
Free throws attempts
2126
Free throws made
1717
Free throws %
81%65.4%
Offensive rebounds
1117
Defensive rebounds
3232
Total rebounds
4349
Assists
1712
Blocks
31
Turnovers
821
Steals
124
Personal fouls
2120

Chances of winning


San Giovanni Valdarno
40.5%
Basket Costa
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Giovanni Valdarno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Giovanni Valdarno's form might have worsened.
  • Basket Costa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basket Costa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni Valdarno than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Giovanni Valdarno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Costa than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basket Costa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Giovanni Valdarno - Basket Costa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.91)

    1.55
    (1.73)
    8.1%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 153.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SG Valdarno won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Basket Costa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, SG Valdarno won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 511:549. (average 63.9:68.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SG Valdarno won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 201:177. (average 67:59).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Giovanni Valdarno - Basket Costa were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Basket Costa - San Giovanni Valdarno 74:66
    05.04.2025 San Giovanni Valdarno - Basket Costa 58:59
    21.12.2024 Basket Costa - San Giovanni Valdarno 74:56
    19.05.2024 Basket Costa - San Giovanni Valdarno 70:72
    16.05.2024 San Giovanni Valdarno - Basket Costa 65:51
    Latest results of San Giovanni Valdarno
    Latest results of Basket Costa
    21.03.2026 Basket Costa - Torino 61:84
    28.02.2026 Sanga Milano - Basket Costa 65:84
    14.02.2026 Basket Costa - Moncalieri 86:77