San Ignacio vs Aurrerá de Vitoria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
21/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 15

Match Stats

Red Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Ormazabal I. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 80', 🟥,
  • 84', 🟥,
  • 85', 2 - 1, ,
  • 86', 🟥,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


San Ignacio
41.1%
Draw
31.1%
Aurrerá de Vitoria
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 27.6% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 27.2% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Ignacio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Ignacio's form might have worsened.
  • Aurrerá de Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurrerá de Vitoria's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Ignacio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurrerá de Vitoria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Ignacio - Aurrerá de Vitoria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.83)
    2.95
    (3.3)
    3.28
    (4)
    9.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for San Ignacio - Aurrerá de Vitoria?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 7)
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, San Ignacio is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Ignacio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, San Ignacio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Ignacio - Aurrerá de Vitoria were as follows:
    28.01.2023 Aurrerá de Vitoria - San Ignacio 0:1
    24.09.2022 San Ignacio - Aurrerá de Vitoria 0:1
    Latest results of San Ignacio
    13.12.2025 Leioa - San Ignacio 0:0
    06.12.2025 San Ignacio - Eibar C 1:0
    22.11.2025 Añorga - San Ignacio 0:2
    16.11.2025 San Ignacio - Durango 0:1
    09.11.2025 Aretxabaleta - San Ignacio 0:0
    Latest results of Aurrerá de Vitoria
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete23192251:163559
    2Leioa23133734:231142
    3Lagun Onak23131936:221440
    4Touring KE23108528:181038
    5San Ignacio23114824:18637
    6Aurrera de Vitoria23114829:29037
    7Alaves C23106737:241336
    8Derio23113936:28836
    9Durango2389623:19433
    10UD Aretxabaleta2395938:39-132
    11Real Sociedad C231021126:28-232
    12Santurtzi2368923:31-826
    13Zamudio23741225:36-1125
    14Anorga23731323:42-1924
    15Eibar C23651225:38-1323
    16Pasaia23651215:29-1423
    17Zarautz KE23631420:40-2021
    18SD Deusto23451417:30-1317

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          Relegation