San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Oberá TC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
102:95 OT
16/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga A

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo de Almagro
41.8%
Oberá TC
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 51.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo de Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Oberá TC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo de Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oberá TC than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oberá TC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Lorenzo de Almagro - Oberá TC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.09)

    1.61
    (1.59)
    7.5%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 159.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for San Lorenzo de Almagro - Oberá TC?
  • Users Predictions: Oberá TC will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Oberá TC will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 79:82.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, San Lorenzo has had a series of home games.
    • Oberá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1061:1003. (average 75.8:71.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 582:532. (average 83.1:76).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo de Almagro - Oberá TC were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Oberá TC - San Lorenzo de Almagro 85:76
    10.04.2025 San Lorenzo de Almagro - Oberá TC 85:86
    24.01.2025 Oberá TC - San Lorenzo de Almagro 74:79
    01.06.2024 Oberá TC - San Lorenzo de Almagro 80:93
    29.05.2024 San Lorenzo de Almagro - Oberá TC 86:73
    Latest results of San Lorenzo de Almagro
    Latest results of Oberá TC
    02.02.2026 La Unión Formosa - Oberá TC 82:100
    31.01.2026 Unión Santa Fe - Oberá TC 83:91
    13.01.2026 Oberá TC - Quimsa 72:74
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Quimsa (1)Bye
    2La Union (8)Independiente de Oliva (9)1 : 1
    3Obera TC (4)Bye
    4Boca Juniors (5)San Martin (12)2 : 0
    5Gimnasia (2)Bye
    6Obras Sanitarias (7)Instituto de Cordoba (10)1 : 1
    7Regatas (3)Bye
    8Ferro (6)Penarol (11)2 : 0