Result
3:1
15/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo de Almagro 55.3% | River Plate 44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo de Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Lorenzo de Almagro's performance.River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and River Plate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+3%)
San Lorenzo de Almagro - River Plate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.68 ↓ (1.84) |
|
2.04 ↑ (1.84) |
8.5% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 182.50
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo de Almagro - River Plate?
Users Predictions:
San Lorenzo de Almagro will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Lorenzo de Almagro will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 2.
- San Lorenzo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- River Plate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.4:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo de Almagro won against River Plate?
San Lorenzo de Almagro has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against San Lorenzo de Almagro?
River Plate has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo de Almagro - River Plate were as follows:
07.11.2025
River Plate
-
San Lorenzo de Almagro
3:2
18.01.2025
River Plate
-
San Lorenzo de Almagro
1:3
16.11.2024
River Plate
-
San Lorenzo de Almagro
1:3
01.02.2024
River Plate
-
San Lorenzo de Almagro
3:0
27.01.2024
San Lorenzo de Almagro
-
River Plate
0:3
Latest results of San Lorenzo de Almagro
Latest results of River Plate
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Ciudad Voley (1) | Banfield (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors (4) | Tucuman De Gimnasia (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | UPCN (2) | San Lorenzo de Almagro (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Monteros (3) | River Plate (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ciudad Voley (1) | Tucuman De Gimnasia (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | UPCN (2) | Monteros (3) | 1 : 0 |