Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:1
11/03/2026 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldOnefootball, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.860.64
Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
32
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
12
Passes
84% (426/507)66% (145/220)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
0.860.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.971.40
Total shots
115
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
82
Blocked shots
01
Shots inside the box
93
Shots outside the box
21
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
2211
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
148
Passes
84% (426/507)66% (145/220)
Long passes
65% (40/62)33% (16/48)
Passes in final third
66% (70/106)56% (44/78)
Crosses
28% (5/18)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.31
Throw ins
2319
Fouls
814
Tackles
85% (11/13)60% (12/20)
Duels won
5046
Clearances
927
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
1.400.97
Goals prevented
0.40-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Cuello A. 🟨,
  • 27', Cerutti E. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
  • 45', Paredes L. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Aranda T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Ascacibar S. ⚽, Delgado M. (A),
  • 63', Gulli F. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
  • 63', Romana J. 🟨,
  • 63', Ladstatter A. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Rodriguez G. ⚽, De Ritis M. (A),
  • 79', Hernandez G. ↓, Corujo G. ↑,
  • 80', Barrios N. ↓, Abrego G. ↑,
  • 81', Tripichio N. 🟨,
  • 81', Miguel Merentiel 🟨,
  • 90+2', Bareiro A. ↓, Zufiaurre I. ↑,

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
55.1%		Draw
29.1%		San Lorenzo
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 28.5% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 28% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.71 ↑
    (1.7)    		 3.23 ↓
    (3.25)    		 5.94 ↑
    (5.4)    		 6.3%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 35.2% – 92%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.
    • Boca Juniors is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Boca Juniors is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo 3:2
    30.03.2024 Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo 2:1
    08.11.2023 San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors 1:1
    12.04.2023 San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors 1:0
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    04.03.2026 Lanús - Boca Juniors 0:3 ✺
    28.02.2026 Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 1:1 ✺
    24.02.2026 Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy 2:0 ✺
    20.02.2026 Boca Juniors - Racing 0:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Boca Juniors - Platense 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    28.02.2026 Talleres de Córdoba - San Lorenzo 0:0 ✺
    24.02.2026 San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba 1:1 ✺
    22.02.2026 San Lorenzo - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2:0 ✺
    13.02.2026 Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo 0:0 ✺
    08.02.2026 Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo 1:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Estudiantes L.P1163214:5921
    3Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    4Lanus1053216:12418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba113355:12-712
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1144310:9116
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Huracan113539:9014
    10Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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