Result
1:1
11/03/2026 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Onefootball, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (426/507) | 66% (145/220) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (426/507) | 66% (145/220) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (40/62) | 33% (16/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (70/106) | 56% (44/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Cuello A. 🟨,
- 27', Cerutti E. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
- 45', Paredes L. 🟨,
- 45+3', Aranda T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 0, Ascacibar S. ⚽, Delgado M. (A),
- 63', Gulli F. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
- 63', Romana J. 🟨,
- 63', Ladstatter A. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Rodriguez G. ⚽, De Ritis M. (A),
- 79', Hernandez G. ↓, Corujo G. ↑,
- 80', Barrios N. ↓, Abrego G. ↑,
- 81', Tripichio N. 🟨,
- 81', Miguel Merentiel 🟨,
- 90+2', Bareiro A. ↓, Zufiaurre I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Boca Juniors
55.1% | Draw
29.1% | San Lorenzo
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+1%)
Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.7) |
3.23 ↓
(3.25) |
5.94 ↑
(5.4) |
6.3%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.
- Boca Juniors is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Boca Juniors is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against San Lorenzo?
Boca Juniors has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Boca Juniors?
San Lorenzo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo were as follows:
18.08.2024
Boca Juniors
-
San Lorenzo
3:2
30.03.2024
Boca Juniors
-
San Lorenzo
2:1
08.11.2023
San Lorenzo
-
Boca Juniors
1:1
12.04.2023
San Lorenzo
-
Boca Juniors
1:0
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 25 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Platense | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | River Plate | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Banfield | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4:19 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
