Fortaleza vs San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Fortaleza - San Lorenzo
Result
3:2
24/05/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
57.1%
Draw
26.6%
San Lorenzo
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 28.4% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 28.1% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.
  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fortaleza - San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.9)
    3.48
    (3.25)
    5.78
    (4)
    6.9%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza - San Lorenzo?
  • Users Predictions: Fortaleza will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fortaleza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • San Lorenzo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Fortaleza have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - San Lorenzo were as follows:
    20.04.2023 San Lorenzo - Fortaleza 0:2
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    17.05.2023 Palmeiras - Fortaleza 3:0
    14.05.2023 Grêmio - Fortaleza 0:0
    11.05.2023 Fortaleza - São Paulo 0:0
    08.05.2023 Corinthians - Fortaleza 1:1
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2