Result
 
                    3:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        24/05/2023 at  18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
 
                                                - Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 4 | 
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 | 
 Portugal | Sport TV | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Fortaleza  57.1% | Draw  26.6% | San Lorenzo  16.2% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Fortaleza - San Lorenzo Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.64 ↓ (1.9) | 
			   3.48 ↑ (3.25) | 
			   5.78 ↑ (4) | 
			   6.9% (8.3%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Fortaleza - San Lorenzo?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Fortaleza will win 
                    (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Fortaleza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
 - San Lorenzo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
 - San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. 
 - Recently Fortaleza have a series of guest games. 
 - In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.
 - Last 1 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against San Lorenzo?
                    
                    
                        
                            Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Fortaleza?
                    
                    
                        
                             San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - San Lorenzo were as follows:
                                                        
                                20.04.2023 
                                San Lorenzo 
                                - 
                                Fortaleza 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Fortaleza                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of San Lorenzo