Result
3:2
24/05/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
- Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
57.1% | Draw
26.6% | San Lorenzo
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortaleza - San Lorenzo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.9) |
3.48 ↑
(3.25) |
5.78 ↑
(4) |
6.9%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - San Lorenzo?
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Fortaleza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- San Lorenzo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Fortaleza have a series of guest games.
- In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against San Lorenzo?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Fortaleza?
San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - San Lorenzo were as follows:
20.04.2023
San Lorenzo
-
Fortaleza
0:2
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
