Result
3:2
24/05/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
- Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
57.1% | Draw
26.6% | San Lorenzo
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortaleza - San Lorenzo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.9) |
3.48 ↑
(3.25) |
5.78 ↑
(4) |
6.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - San Lorenzo?
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Fortaleza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- San Lorenzo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Fortaleza have a series of guest games.
- In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against San Lorenzo?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Fortaleza?
San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - San Lorenzo were as follows:
20.04.2023
San Lorenzo
-
Fortaleza
0:2
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Macara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Boston River | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Caracas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Palestino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vasco | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
