Result
1:0
08/02/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 4
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | ESPN Premium, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Peru | Disney+ |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (99/154) | 55% (64/116) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (99/154) | 55% (64/116) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (15/36) | 30% (8/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (27/56) | 46% (17/37) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Gulli F. 🟨,
- 45', Carrizo L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gulli F. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 48', Cerutti E. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 0, Caicedo J. ⚽, Ojeda E. (A),
- 56', Ibanez C. 🟨,
- 58', Lopez F. 🟨,
- 63', Abrego G. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
- 70', Cerutti E. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
- 74', Martinez A. ↓, Nervo H. ↑,
- 74', Cortes O. ↓, Bisanz J. ↑,
- 76', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 80', Perruzzi I. ↓, Cardillo M. ↑,
- 80', Rodriguez Pagano T. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
- 84', Ojeda E. ↓, Mora L. ↑,
- 90+3', Caicedo J. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
- 90+3', Gil L. ↓, Kalinger F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Huracán Buenos Aires 36.9% | Draw 36.3% | San Lorenzo 26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.59 ↑ (2.51) |
2.59 ↑ (2.53) |
3.55 ↓ (3.66) |
5.5% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Huracán will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 8 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - San Lorenzo (3.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Huracán (1.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Huracán (votes: 2 - 18.2%). San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huracán won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, San Lorenzo has had a series of home games.
- Huracán will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Huracán: Rios M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zabala D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F.
(Inactive)
Barrios N.
(Inactive)
Cordoba A.
(Muscle Injury)
Herrera D.
(Knee Injury)
Montenegro L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Huracán: Paz N.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Huracán won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Huracán won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Huracán Buenos Aires won against San Lorenzo?
Huracán Buenos Aires has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Huracán Buenos Aires?
San Lorenzo has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo were as follows:
30.08.2025
San Lorenzo
-
Huracán Buenos Aires
0:0
23.02.2025
Huracán Buenos Aires
-
San Lorenzo
2:0
20.07.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Huracán Buenos Aires
1:1
24.02.2024
Huracán Buenos Aires
-
San Lorenzo
0:0
30.09.2023
San Lorenzo
-
Huracán Buenos Aires
1:1
Latest results of Huracán Buenos Aires
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Platense | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | River Plate | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4:19 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)