San Marcos de Arica vs Unión Española – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
82
Corner kicks
43
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
127
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
45
Corner kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Guerra C. ,
  • 36', Roco B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nunez I. , Vilches Araneda A. ,
  • 47', Molina L. , Cordero R. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Melivilu Fuentes C. ,
  • 71', Sagredo B. , Zedan N. ,
  • 71', Cazula A. , Iturra M. ,
  • 71', Galleguillos A. , Pereira D. ,
  • 77', Aranguiz P. , Massri F. ,
  • 77', Machado W. , Jauregui B. ,
  • 83', Zedan N. 🟨,
  • 85', Melivilu Fuentes C. , Reyes G. ,
  • 85', Guerra C. , Orrego I. ,

Chances of winning


San Marcos de Arica
44.2%
Draw
28.2%
Unión Española
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 29.9% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 29.5% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marcos de Arica's performance.
  • Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Marcos de Arica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • San Marcos de Arica - Unión Española Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.45)
    3.28
    (3.12)
    3.34
    (2.9)
    8.2%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica - Unión Española?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • San Marcos de Arica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).