Result
1:1
23/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Ascenso - Round 5
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fuentes D. ↓, Bravo D. ↑,
- 51', Tapia B. 🟨,
- 56', Diaz R. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 56', Aravena B. ↓, Jara I. ↑,
- 57', Abalos A. ↓, Sagredo B. ↑,
- 62', Barrios A. 🟥,
- 69', Riveros B. ↓, Brun N. ↑,
- 71', Galleguillos A. 🟨,
- 72', Donadell N. ↓, Reyes G. ↑,
- 73', Perales V. 🟨,
- 73', Rivera J. 🟨,
- 81', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Monroy B. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Munoz P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Unión San Felipe 35.7% | Draw 31.9% | San Marcos de Arica 32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Unión San Felipe - San Marcos de Arica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.57 ↑ (2.47) |
2.87 ↓ (3.18) |
2.83 ↑ (2.61) |
9.2% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Unión San Felipe - San Marcos de Arica?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Unión San Felipe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - San Marcos de Arica (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Marcos de Arica (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 2.
- Unión San Felipe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Marcos de Arica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Unión San Felipe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión San Felipe won against San Marcos de Arica?
Unión San Felipe has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcos de Arica won against Unión San Felipe?
San Marcos de Arica has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión San Felipe - San Marcos de Arica were as follows:
18.10.2025
San Marcos de Arica
-
Unión San Felipe
1:0
07.06.2025
Unión San Felipe
-
San Marcos de Arica
1:2
20.10.2024
San Marcos de Arica
-
Unión San Felipe
1:2
03.06.2024
Unión San Felipe
-
San Marcos de Arica
0:2
22.07.2023
Unión San Felipe
-
San Marcos de Arica
3:0
Latest results of Unión San Felipe
Latest results of San Marcos de Arica