Result
1:4
16/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 5
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 22', Raffo R. 🟨,
- 26', Raffo R. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
- 37', 0 - 1, Gonzalez N. (Pen),
- 45', Ramirez S. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Perlaza V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', Carrillo A. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 2, Salas J. ⚽,
- 61', Ayala J. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,
- 61', Guerrero G. ↓, Morales G. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 3, Gonzalez N. ⚽,
- 76', 1 - 4, Gonzalez N. ⚽,
- 76', Ramirez S. ↓, Romero P. ↑,
- 80', Soto J. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 82', Rodriguez R. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 86', Mena J. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
- 86', Jimenez O. ↓, Arrieta J. ↑,
- 87', Montoya C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Marcos
26.8% | Draw
26.7% | Unión Comercio
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marcos's form might have worsened.Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Comercio's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Comercio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Marcos - Unión Comercio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(2.38) |
3.55 ↑
(3.3) |
2.04 ↓
(2.6) |
5.5%
(10.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for San Marcos - Unión Comercio?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Unión Comercio (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Unión Comercio will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- San Marcos is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Unión Comercio is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcos won against Unión Comercio?
San Marcos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Comercio won against San Marcos?
Unión Comercio has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcos - Unión Comercio were as follows:
Latest results of San Marcos
Latest results of Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 2 Table
Promotion GroupGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Moquegua | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Tacna Heroica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Cesar Vallejo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Comercio | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Comerciantes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Santos | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | San Marcos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
| 5 | ADA Jaen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
