Result
1:3
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 77', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 84', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
San Marino Calcio 21.7% | Draw 27.2% | L Aquila 51.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marino Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marino Calcio's form might have worsened.L Aquila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting L Aquila's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marino Calcio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for L Aquila, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Marino Calcio - L Aquila Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.17 ↑ (2.64) |
3.32 ↓ (3.43) |
1.77 ↓ (2.29) |
10.8% (10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, L Aquila has had a series of home games.
- In this match, L Aquila is a strong favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marino Calcio won against L Aquila?
San Marino Calcio has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has L Aquila won against San Marino Calcio?
L Aquila has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Marino Calcio - L Aquila were as follows:
Latest results of San Marino Calcio
Latest results of L Aquila
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ostiamare | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 62:20 | 42 | 73 |
| 2 | Ancona | 31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 71 |
| 3 | Teramo | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 59:25 | 34 | 69 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 53 |
| 5 | L Aquila | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 31 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 35:29 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 45 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 24:30 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 36:37 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 37 |
| 12 | Termoli | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Sora | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Calcio Chieti | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 33:55 | -22 | 25 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 29:57 | -28 | 25 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 28:64 | -36 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation