Result
1:3
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 77', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 84', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
San Marino Calcio 21.7% | Draw 27.2% | L Aquila 51.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marino Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marino Calcio's form might have worsened.L Aquila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting L Aquila's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marino Calcio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for L Aquila, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Marino Calcio - L Aquila Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.17 ↑ (2.64) |
3.32 ↓ (3.43) |
1.77 ↓ (2.29) |
10.8% (10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, L Aquila has had a series of home games.
- In this match, L Aquila is a strong favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marino Calcio won against L Aquila?
San Marino Calcio has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has L Aquila won against San Marino Calcio?
L Aquila has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Marino Calcio - L Aquila were as follows:
Latest results of San Marino Calcio
Latest results of L Aquila
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ancona | 28 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 52:18 | 34 | 65 |
| 2 | Ostiamare | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 54:17 | 37 | 63 |
| 3 | Teramo | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 54:23 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 50:28 | 22 | 49 |
| 5 | L Aquila | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:38 | 13 | 48 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 7 | Vigor Senigallia | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Giulianova | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 34:29 | 5 | 40 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Termoli | 28 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Sora | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 34:43 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Maceratese | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 35:41 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29:50 | -21 | 22 |
| 15 | Calcio Chieti | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 24:49 | -25 | 22 |
| 16 | Castelfidardo | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 25:52 | -27 | 21 |
| 17 | San Marino Calcio | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 21 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 28:63 | -35 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation