San Marino Calcio vs L Aquila – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 39', 1 - 0, ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 77', 1 - 2, ,
  • 84', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


San Marino Calcio
21.7%
Draw
27.2%
L Aquila
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 26.3% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 26.4% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marino Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marino Calcio's form might have worsened.
  • L Aquila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting L Aquila's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marino Calcio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for L Aquila, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Marino Calcio - L Aquila Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.17
    (2.64)
    3.32
    (3.43)
    1.77
    (2.29)
    10.8%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, L Aquila has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, L Aquila is a strong favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of San Marino Calcio
    Latest results of L Aquila
    04.01.2026 L Aquila - Atletico Ascoli 1:2
    21.12.2025 L Aquila - Termoli 1:0
    14.12.2025 Ancona - L Aquila 2:0
    07.12.2025 L Aquila - Ostia Mare 3:0
    30.11.2025 L Aquila - Sammaurese 4:0
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare34247365:254079
    2Ancona34237459:223776
    3Teramo342111265:293674
    4Atletico Ascoli341413755:352055
    5Notaresco Calcio341312943:311251
    6L Aquila341491153:44951
    7Giulianova341116740:31949
    8Vigor Senigallia341213945:40549
    9Fossombrone3411111228:34-644
    10Unipomezia3410121243:42142
    11Termoli348151127:30-339
    12Maceratese341151843:49-638
    13Sora349111440:50-1038
    14Calcio Chieti348111531:55-2435
    15Recanatese34881839:57-1832
    16San Marino Calcio34871933:61-2831
    17Castelfidardo34652330:65-3523
    18Sammaurese34572230:69-3920

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation