San Marino Calcio vs Maceratese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Shiba C. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Ciattaglia D. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Brighi G. ,

Chances of winning


San Marino Calcio
41.9%
Draw
28.5%
Maceratese
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 25.1% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 24.6% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marino Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marino Calcio's form might have worsened.
  • Maceratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marino Calcio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maceratese than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • San Marino Calcio - Maceratese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.79)
    3.21
    (3.55)
    3.09
    (3.55)
    9.5%
    (12.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 9).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, San Marino is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of San Marino Calcio
    Latest results of Maceratese
    02.11.2025 Termoli - Maceratese 2:2
    26.10.2025 Maceratese - Ancona 1:5
    19.10.2025 Notaresco - Maceratese 2:1
    12.10.2025 Maceratese - L Aquila 2:1
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ancona26194349:163361
    2Ostiamare26186253:173660
    3Teramo26177251:222958
    4L Aquila26145748:331547
    5Atletico Ascoli26129547:272045
    6Vigor Senigallia261010628:25340
    7Giulianova26912533:27639
    8Notaresco Calcio26911629:24538
    9Fossombrone2689920:24-433
    10Unipomezia26881032:34-232
    11Maceratese26931435:38-330
    12Sora26791033:39-630
    13Termoli26512922:26-427
    14Recanatese26561528:48-2021
    15Calcio Chieti26491323:47-2421
    16San Marino Calcio26551622:47-2520
    17Sammaurese26461627:57-3018
    18Castelfidardo26431922:51-2915

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation