Result
0:0
17/08/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Castro N. 🟨,
- 45+1', Murillo F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Martinez E. 🟨,
- 90', Blasi B. 🟨,
- 90', Garcia F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Soraire J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟥,
Chances of winning
San Martín de Tucumán
49.8% | Draw
32.1% | Alvarado
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín de Tucumán's form might have worsened.Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de Tucumán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
San Martín de Tucumán - Alvarado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.59) |
2.95 ↓
(3.4) |
5.29 ↓
(6.24) |
6%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Martín de Tucumán - Alvarado?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. San Martin T will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 4.
- San Martin T is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Alvarado has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alvarado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, San Martin T is the clear favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Martin T won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de Tucumán won against Alvarado?
San Martín de Tucumán has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against San Martín de Tucumán?
Alvarado has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de Tucumán - Alvarado were as follows:
12.04.2025
Alvarado
-
San Martín de Tucumán
0:2
19.10.2024
Alvarado
-
San Martín de Tucumán
0:2
02.06.2024
San Martín de Tucumán
-
Alvarado
1:0
03.09.2023
Alvarado
-
San Martín de Tucumán
1:1
24.04.2023
San Martín de Tucumán
-
Alvarado
2:0
Latest results of San Martín de Tucumán
Latest results of Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn ✔ | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 60 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta ✔ | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 55 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez ✔ | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 33:23 | 10 | 52 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro ✔ | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 34:23 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | San Miguel ✔ | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 50 |
| 6 | San Martin T. ✔ | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 32:29 | 3 | 49 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 34:30 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | Patronato ✔ | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 26:26 | 0 | 47 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:45 | -7 | 41 |
| 11 | Ferro | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 24:33 | -9 | 41 |
| 12 | Los Andes | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 28:28 | 0 | 40 |
| 13 | Club A. Guemes | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:32 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | All Boys | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | Almagro | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi ✔ | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 | Alvarado | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 18:33 | -15 | 33 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 34:18 | 16 | 60 |
| 2 | CA Estudiantes | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 40:21 | 19 | 58 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 57 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Jujuy ✔ | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 54 |
| 6 | Chaco For Ever | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 33:25 | 8 | 52 |
| 7 | Temperley | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 52 |
| 8 | Agropecuario | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 41:34 | 7 | 51 |
| 9 | Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 49 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 48 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 27:30 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 26:39 | -13 | 36 |
| 15 | Almirante Brown | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 | Colon Santa Fe | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 21:39 | -18 | 29 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) ✔ | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 16:38 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos ✔ | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 17:51 | -34 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Deportivo Madryn is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Super final )
Atletico Atlanta is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Tristan Suarez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Gimnasia y Tiro is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Martin T. is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Arsenal Sarandi is Relegated to
Gimnasia Jujuy is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
Defensores Unidos is Relegated to
