Result
0:0
17/08/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Castro N. 🟨,
- 45+1', Murillo F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Martinez E. 🟨,
- 90', Blasi B. 🟨,
- 90', Garcia F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Soraire J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟥,
Chances of winning
San Martín de Tucumán
49.8% | Draw
32.1% | Alvarado
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín de Tucumán's form might have worsened.Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de Tucumán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
San Martín de Tucumán - Alvarado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.59) |
2.95 ↓
(3.4) |
5.29 ↓
(6.24) |
6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Martín de Tucumán - Alvarado?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. San Martin T will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 4.
- San Martin T is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Alvarado has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alvarado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, San Martin T is the clear favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Martin T won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de Tucumán won against Alvarado?
San Martín de Tucumán has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against San Martín de Tucumán?
Alvarado has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de Tucumán - Alvarado were as follows:
12.04.2025
Alvarado
-
San Martín de Tucumán
0:2
19.10.2024
Alvarado
-
San Martín de Tucumán
0:2
02.06.2024
San Martín de Tucumán
-
Alvarado
1:0
03.09.2023
Alvarado
-
San Martín de Tucumán
1:1
24.04.2023
San Martín de Tucumán
-
Alvarado
2:0
Latest results of San Martín de Tucumán
Latest results of Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | Racing Cordoba | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | Def. de Belgrano | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Acassuso | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Colon Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Godoy Cruz | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | All Boys | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Los Andes | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Deportivo Madryn | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Ciudad Bolivar | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Ferro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Chaco For Ever | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | CA Estudiantes | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nueva Chicago | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Atl. Rafaela | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | San Martin T | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 | Midland | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Temperley | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Atletico Atlanta | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Club A. Guemes | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Patronato | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Almagro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Quilmes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Deportivo Maipu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Colegiales | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
