Result
0:2
12/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 10
- Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Murillo F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Borgnino M. 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 1, Esquivel J. ⚽,
- 55', Bolivar A. 🟨,
- 59', Blasi B. 🟨,
- 62', Bergara M. ↓, Becker D. ↑,
- 62', Borgnino M. ↓, Castellano A. ↑,
- 74', Murillo F. ↓, Cainelli N. ↑,
- 74', Cuevas J. ↓, Vera U. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 2, Esquivel J. ⚽,
- 77', Aleo A. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
- 83', Hachen G. ↓, Cisnero A. ↑,
- 83', Esquivel J. ↓, Prokop A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alvarado
33.6% | Draw
34.3% | San Martín de Tucumán
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Alvarado - San Martín de Tucumán Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.7) |
2.69 ↓
(2.97) |
2.88 ↑
(2.69) |
8.6%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Alvarado - San Martín de Tucumán?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). San Martin T will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 1.
- Recent matches Alvarado is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- San Martin T is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Alvarado won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against San Martín de Tucumán?
Alvarado has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de Tucumán won against Alvarado?
San Martín de Tucumán has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - San Martín de Tucumán were as follows:
19.10.2024
Alvarado
-
San Martín de Tucumán
0:2
02.06.2024
San Martín de Tucumán
-
Alvarado
1:0
03.09.2023
Alvarado
-
San Martín de Tucumán
1:1
24.04.2023
San Martín de Tucumán
-
Alvarado
2:0
Latest results of Alvarado
Latest results of San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 39 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 27:19 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 22:14 | 8 | 36 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 36 |
| 7 | Patronato | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Racing Cordoba | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 14:19 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Los Andes | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 27 |
| 13 | Almagro | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 15 | Ferro | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 26 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 23 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 25 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 21 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 18 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chacarita Juniors | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 24:11 | 13 | 43 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 38 |
| 6 | Temperley | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:18 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 36 |
| 9 | CA Mitre | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 17:16 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 29 |
| 13 | Colon Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 9:28 | -19 | 11 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 9:38 | -29 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
