Defensores de Belgrano vs San Martín de Tucumán – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/10/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 38

Chances of winning


Defensores de Belgrano
38.1%
Draw
31.3%
San Martín de Tucumán
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 28.1% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 28.7% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de Tucumán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.52)
    2.95
    (3.22)
    3.08
    (2.52)
    7.5%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 4 - 20%). San Martin T will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2%66.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • San Martín de Tucumán is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    • Defensores de Belgrano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • San Martín de Tucumán is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Defensores de Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán were as follows:
    04.06.2023 San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano 3:1
    22.10.2022 San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano 0:3
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Acassuso22005:056
    2Ferro21103:124
    3Colon Santa Fe21102:114
    4Almirante Brown21102:114
    5San Miguel21102:114
    6All Boys21013:303
    7CA Mitre21012:203
    8Racing Cordoba21011:3-23
    9Godoy Cruz20202:202
    10Def. de Belgrano20202:202
    11Deportivo Moron20202:202
    12Ciudad Bolivar20202:202
    13Los Andes20201:102
    14Deportivo Madryn20112:3-11
    15Central Norte20110:1-11
    16San Telmo20112:4-21
    17Chaco For Ever20112:4-21
    18CA Estudiantes20020:2-20


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia y Tiro22004:226
    2Chacarita Juniors21104:224
    3San Martin S.J21103:214
    4Nueva Chicago21101:014
    5San Martin T21101:014
    6Temperley21101:014
    7Deportivo Maipu21013:303
    8Colegiales21012:203
    9Agropecuario21012:203
    10Atletico Atlanta21011:103
    11Gimnasia Jujuy21013:4-13
    12Tristan Suarez20200:002
    13Almagro20110:1-11
    14Atl. Rafaela20111:2-11
    15Patronato20111:2-11
    16Midland20111:2-11
    17Quilmes20110:1-11
    18Club A. Guemes20021:3-20

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation