Defensores de Belgrano vs San Martín de Tucumán – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán
Result
2:1
16/10/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 38

Chances of winning


Defensores de Belgrano
38.1%
Draw
31.3%
San Martín de Tucumán
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 28.1% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 28.7% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de Tucumán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.52)
    2.95
    (3.22)
    3.08
    (2.52)
    7.5%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 4 - 20%). San Martin T will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2%66.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • San Martín de Tucumán is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    • Defensores de Belgrano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • San Martín de Tucumán is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Defensores de Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán were as follows:
    04.06.2023 San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano 3:1
    22.10.2022 San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano 0:3
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn281311440:241650
    2Atletico Atlanta281211527:19847
    3San Martin T271110625:20543
    4San Miguel281110728:24443
    5Patronato28119829:24542
    6Tristan Suarez28914524:19541
    7Gimnasia y Tiro281010823:17640
    8Deportivo Maipu28910926:26037
    9Los Andes28991027:25236
    10Racing Cordoba288101032:36-434
    11Colegiales28971217:22-534
    12Quilmes27891027:27033
    13All Boys27712822:22033
    14Almagro287111021:25-432
    15Ferro28791217:29-1230
    16Club A. Guemes28415924:31-727
    17Alvarado275121017:24-727
    18Arsenal Sarandi28691328:40-1227


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza271410329:131652
    2Gimnasia Jujuy281312331:131851
    3Estudiantes Rio Cuarto281211529:181147
    4Deportivo Moron271210529:161346
    5Chacarita Juniors281210633:211246
    6CA Estudiantes28136930:191145
    7Temperley281112524:18645
    8Chaco For Ever281351029:24544
    9Agropecuario28109932:32039
    10Def. de Belgrano28811923:23035
    11CA Mitre28981122:22035
    12San Telmo28811925:32-735
    13Nueva Chicago28891124:27-333
    14Central Norte28961323:30-733
    15Colon Santa Fe28841621:34-1328
    16Almirante Brown285111221:31-1026
    17Talleres (R.E)28451913:34-2117
    18Defensores Unidos282101616:47-3116

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation