Defensores de Belgrano vs San Martín de Tucumán – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán
Result
2:1
16/10/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 38

Chances of winning


Defensores de Belgrano
38.1%
Draw
31.3%
San Martín de Tucumán
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 28.1% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 28.7% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de Tucumán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.52)
    2.95
    (3.22)
    3.08
    (2.52)
    7.5%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 4 - 20%). San Martin T will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2%66.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • San Martín de Tucumán is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    • Defensores de Belgrano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • San Martín de Tucumán is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Defensores de Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán were as follows:
    04.06.2023 San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano 3:1
    22.10.2022 San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano 0:3
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn251110433:211243
    2Atletico Atlanta24119423:15842
    3San Martin T24109522:16639
    4Tristan Suarez25912422:16639
    5San Miguel25109626:21539
    6Patronato25108728:23538
    7Gimnasia y Tiro2599722:15736
    8Deportivo Maipu2489723:22133
    9Los Andes25871025:24131
    10Almagro2579920:22-230
    11Racing Cordoba2579929:34-530
    12Colegiales25861115:21-630
    13Quilmes2369823:23027
    14All Boys25512819:21-227
    15Ferro25691015:25-1027
    16Club A. Guemes25414721:26-526
    17Alvarado24591016:23-724
    18Arsenal Sarandi25491224:38-1421


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy251210328:121646
    2Gimnasia Mendoza241210225:111446
    3Chacarita Juniors25127632:201243
    4Chaco For Ever25134828:19943
    5Temperley25119523:17642
    6Estudiantes Rio Cuarto251011425:151041
    7Deportivo Moron23109425:131239
    8CA Estudiantes25116826:18839
    9Nueva Chicago2588923:24-132
    10Agropecuario2588928:30-232
    11CA Mitre25871017:19-231
    12San Telmo25710824:29-531
    13Def. de Belgrano2479819:19030
    14Central Norte25841322:30-828
    15Colon Santa Fe25831420:31-1127
    16Almirante Brown25591120:29-924
    17Defensores Unidos25291414:42-2815
    18Talleres (R.E)2525189:30-2111

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation