San Martín de Tucumán vs Patronato Parana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play

Match Stats


Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
2	5
Corner Kicks
5	3
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
1	0
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
3	5
Corner Kicks
5	3
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Moreyra F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Bonansea A. ⚽, Moreno E. (A),
59', Moreno E. ↓, Escobar I. ↑,
67', Castro F. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
67', Garcia F. ↓, Cainelli N. ↑,
68', Hachen G. ↓, Cisnero A. ↑,
75', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
78', Zuliani H. ↓, Spetale A. ↑,
86', Cuevas J. ↓, Soraire J. ↑,
86', Marcioni J. ↓, Asis G. ↑,
86', Gallucci S. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
88', Sand D. 🟨,
90+1', Soraire J. 🟥,
90+8', Rueda M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

San Martín de Tucumán
55.1%

Draw
27.8%

Patronato Parana
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de Tucumán's performance.

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Patronato Parana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de Tucumán that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Patronato Parana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	5.4 ↑ (3.75)	8% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana?

Users Predictions: San Martín de Tucumán will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 5.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Patronato has had a series of home games.
In this match, San Martin T is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, San Martin T won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de Tucumán won against Patronato Parana?

San Martín de Tucumán has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against San Martín de Tucumán?

Patronato Parana has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana were as follows:

23.02.2025 Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán 0:1

06.10.2024 Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán 0:1

20.05.2024 San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana 2:0

17.09.2023 Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán 1:3

07.05.2023 San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana 2:0

Latest results of San Martín de Tucumán

22.06.2025 Ferro Carril Oeste - San Martín de Tucumán 0:2 ✺

14.06.2025 San Martín de Tucumán - Club Almagro 1:1 ✺

31.05.2025 San Martín de Tucumán - San Miguel 0:1 ✺

26.05.2025 Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán 1:2 ✺

17.05.2025 San Martín de Tucumán - Racing de Córdoba 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Patronato Parana

22.06.2025 Patronato Parana - Güemes 1:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Patronato Parana - Los Andes 0:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Patronato Parana - Ferro Carril Oeste 3:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Club Almagro - Patronato Parana 2:1 ✺

19.05.2025 Patronato Parana - San Miguel 2:1 ✺

Argentinian Primera Nacional Table

Main

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Madryn	34	16	12	6	45:28	17	60
2	Atletico Atlanta	34	14	13	7	31:28	3	55
3	Tristan Suarez	34	12	16	6	33:23	10	52
4	Gimnasia y Tiro	34	13	12	9	34:23	11	51
5	San Miguel	34	12	14	8	32:28	4	50
6	San Martin T	34	12	13	9	32:29	3	49
7	Deportivo Maipu	34	12	12	10	34:30	4	48
8	Patronato	34	12	12	10	31:28	3	48
9	Colegiales	34	13	8	13	26:26	0	47
10	All Boys	34	8	17	9	26:25	1	41
11	Racing Cordoba	34	10	11	13	38:45	-7	41
12	Ferro	34	10	11	13	24:33	-9	41
13	Los Andes	34	10	10	14	28:31	-3	40
14	Club A. Guemes	34	8	16	10	28:32	-4	40
15	Quilmes	34	8	14	12	30:32	-2	38
16	Almagro	34	7	14	13	24:31	-7	35
17	Arsenal Sarandi	34	8	10	16	38:47	-9	34
18	Alvarado	34	6	15	13	18:33	-15	33

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gimnasia Mendoza	34	17	12	5	35:18	17	63
2	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	34	16	12	6	35:22	13	60
3	CA Estudiantes	34	17	8	9	41:22	19	59
4	Deportivo Moron	34	15	13	6	36:19	17	58
5	Gimnasia Jujuy	34	15	12	7	36:20	16	57
6	Temperley	34	14	13	7	30:22	8	55
7	Agropecuario	34	15	9	10	43:34	9	54
8	Chaco For Ever	34	15	8	11	34:26	8	53
9	Chacarita Juniors	34	12	13	9	37:29	8	49
10	Def. de Belgrano	34	12	12	10	30:26	4	48
11	Nueva Chicago	34	10	11	13	27:33	-6	41
12	San Telmo	34	10	11	13	31:42	-11	41
13	CA Mitre	34	10	10	14	28:31	-3	40
14	Almirante Brown	34	8	12	14	28:38	-10	36
15	Central Norte	34	10	6	18	27:41	-14	36
16	Colon Santa Fe	34	9	5	20	22:39	-17	32
17	Talleres (R.E)	34	6	5	23	17:40	-23	23
18	Defensores Unidos	34	3	12	19	17:52	-35	21

      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
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