Result
0:3
02/08/2025 at 20:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (194/278) | 84% (453/541) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 3.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (194/278) | 84% (453/541) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/67) | 66% (33/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (32/72) | 73% (97/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 63% (5/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 82% (18/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.38 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Montiel G. ⚽, Pezzella G. (A),
- 36', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', Pezzella G. 🟨,
- 56', Miguel Borja 🟨,
- 58', Galarza M. 🟨,
- 60', Lencina S. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
- 63', Spetale A. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
- 63', Hachen G. ↓, Pino M. ↑,
- 64', Perez E. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
- 71', 0 - 2, Giuliano Galoppo ⚽, Miguel Borja (A),
- 72', Castro N. ↓, Cuevas J. ↑,
- 78', Murillo F. 🟨,
- 79', Soraire J. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 79', Garcia F. ↓, Cainelli N. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 3, Montiel G. ⚽, Colidio F. (A),
Chances of winning
San Martín de Tucumán
11.8% | Draw
22.7% | River Plate
65.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and River Plate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Martín de Tucumán - River Plate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.81 ↓
(9.9) |
4.07 ↓
(4.65) |
1.41 ↑
(1.31) |
8.1%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for San Martín de Tucumán - River Plate?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. San Martin T will win (votes: 2 - 50%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Martin T (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location.
- Recent performances by San Martin T have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- River Plate is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, River Plate has had a series of home games.
- In this match, River Plate is the clear favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de Tucumán won against River Plate?
San Martín de Tucumán has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against San Martín de Tucumán?
River Plate has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de Tucumán - River Plate were as follows:
Latest results of San Martín de Tucumán
Latest results of River Plate
Draw
20251/32-finals| 1 | San Lorenzo | Sportivo Las Parejas | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | Quilmes | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Tigre | Berazategui | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Banfield | Villa Mitre | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Platense | Argentino de Quilmes | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ind. Rivadavia | CA Estudiantes | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | Central Cordoba | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P. | Deportivo Espanol | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Racing Club | Santamarina | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | San Martin S.J. | Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Dep. Riestra | San Telmo | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | Deportivo Armenio | 3 : 4 |
| 13 | Rosario Central | Los Andes | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Union de Santa Fe | Colegiales | 3 : 1 |
| 15 | San Martin T. | Colon Santa Fe | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | River Plate | Ciudad Bolivar | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Boca Juniors | Argentino MM | 5 : 0 |
| 18 | Atl. Tucuman | All Boys | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Defensa y Justicia | Racing Cordoba | 3 : 1 |
| 20 | Newells Old Boys | Kimberley | 1 : 0 |
| 21 | Belgrano | Real Pilar | 3 : 1 |
| 22 | Barracas Central | Def. de Belgrano | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Gimnasia Mendoza | Nueva Chicago | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Independiente | Sportivo Belgrano | 2 : 0 |
| 25 | Estudiantes L.P. | Sarmiento de La Banda | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Aldosivi | Gimnasia y Tiro | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Godoy Cruz | Excursionistas | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Argentinos Jrs | Central Norte | 3 : 0 |
| 29 | Lanus | General Lamadrid | 4 : 0 |
| 30 | Velez Sarsfield | Midland | 1 : 0 |
| 31 | Instituto | Deportivo Madryn | 3 : 0 |
| 32 | Huracan | San Martin Formosa | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | San Lorenzo | Quilmes | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Tigre | Banfield | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Platense | Ind. Rivadavia | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Central Cordoba | Gimnasia L.P. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Racing Club | San Martin S.J. | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Dep. Riestra | Deportivo Armenio | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | Union de Santa Fe | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | San Martin T. | River Plate | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | Atl. Tucuman | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | Newells Old Boys | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Belgrano | Def. de Belgrano | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | Independiente | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Estudiantes L.P. | Aldosivi | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Excursionistas | Argentinos Jrs | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Lanus | Velez Sarsfield | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Instituto | Huracan | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | San Lorenzo | Tigre | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Ind. Rivadavia | Central Cordoba | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Racing Club | Dep. Riestra | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | River Plate | |
| 5 | Atl. Tucuman | Newells Old Boys | |
| 6 | Belgrano | Independiente | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | Argentinos Jrs | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lanus | Huracan | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tigre | Ind. Rivadavia | |
| 2 | Racing Club | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | Belgrano | |
| 4 | Argentinos Jrs | Lanus | |
Semi-finalsFinal
