Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lenense 31.1% | Draw 34% | San Martín 35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Lenense - San Martín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.93 ↓ (2.98) |
2.68 ↓ (2.94) |
2.61 ↑ (2.35) |
9.8% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lenense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lenense won against San Martín?
Lenense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín won against Lenense?
San Martín has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lenense - San Martín were as follows:
12.10.2025
San Martín
-
Lenense
2:1
17.04.2025
Lenense
-
San Martín
1:1
06.12.2024
San Martín
-
Lenense
2:1
Latest results of Lenense
Latest results of San Martín
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 75:21 | 54 | 71 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 71:24 | 47 | 58 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 50:35 | 15 | 57 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 43:25 | 18 | 51 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | EI San Martin | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | CD Colunga | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 38 |
| 9 | Union Club Ceares | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 36 |
| 10 | Praviano | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 11 | Llanes | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 42:45 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Club Siero | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 36:47 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Lenense | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 28 |
| 15 | SD Navarro CF | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 34:46 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Gijon Industrial | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 25 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 26:52 | -26 | 24 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 30 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 18:65 | -47 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation