Lenense vs San Martín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Lenense
31.1%
Draw
34%
San Martín
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 30.9% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 30.5% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Lenense - San Martín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.98)
    2.68
    (2.94)
    2.61
    (2.35)
    9.8%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lenense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lenense - San Martín were as follows:
    12.10.2025 San Martín - Lenense 2:1
    17.04.2025 Lenense - San Martín 1:1
    06.12.2024 San Martín - Lenense 2:1
    Latest results of Lenense
    15.02.2026 Covadonga - Lenense 1:1
    08.02.2026 Lenense - Avilés Stadium 1:1
    01.02.2026 Llanera - Lenense 3:0
    25.01.2026 Lenense - Real Titánico 2:0
    18.01.2026 Llanes - Lenense 3:0
    Latest results of San Martín
    15.02.2026 San Martín - Tuilla 1:0
    08.02.2026 San Martín - Covadonga 0:2
    25.01.2026 San Martín - Llanera 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Llanera30254161:174479
    2Covadonga30225375:215471
    3Gijon B301610471:244758
    4Caudal Deportivo30176750:351557
    5Mosconia30156943:251851
    6L'Entregu301210838:33546
    7EI San Martin301191031:32-142
    8CD Colunga301081231:45-1438
    9Union Club Ceares30991230:36-636
    10Praviano30991230:37-736
    11Llanes307131042:45-334
    12Club Siero30881436:47-1132
    13Aviles Stadium306141018:30-1232
    14Lenense306101430:51-2128
    15SD Navarro CF305131234:46-1228
    16Gijon Industrial305101527:50-2325
    17Tuilla30661826:52-2624
    18Real Titanico30282018:65-4714

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