Lenense vs San Martín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Lenense
31.1%
Draw
34%
San Martín
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 30.9% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 30.5% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Lenense - San Martín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.98)
    2.68
    (2.94)
    2.61
    (2.35)
    9.8%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lenense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lenense - San Martín were as follows:
    12.10.2025 San Martín - Lenense 2:1
    17.04.2025 Lenense - San Martín 1:1
    06.12.2024 San Martín - Lenense 2:1
    Latest results of Lenense
    15.02.2026 Covadonga - Lenense 1:1
    08.02.2026 Lenense - Avilés Stadium 1:1
    01.02.2026 Llanera - Lenense 3:0
    25.01.2026 Lenense - Real Titánico 2:0
    18.01.2026 Llanes - Lenense 3:0
    Latest results of San Martín
    15.02.2026 San Martín - Tuilla 1:0
    08.02.2026 San Martín - Covadonga 0:2
    25.01.2026 San Martín - Llanera 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Llanera31264162:174582
    2Covadonga31235379:215874
    3Gijon B311710476:245261
    4Caudal Deportivo31186754:361860
    5Mosconia31166945:252054
    6L'Entregu311210938:37146
    7EI San Martin311291034:34045
    8Union Club Ceares311091233:38-539
    9CD Colunga311081333:48-1538
    10Praviano31991332:40-836
    11Club Siero31981437:47-1035
    12Llanes317131142:46-434
    13Aviles Stadium316141118:35-1732
    14Lenense316101530:53-2328
    15SD Navarro CF315131334:47-1328
    16Tuilla31761830:52-2227
    17Gijon Industrial315101628:54-2625
    18Real Titanico31282118:69-5114

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