Barangay Ginebra San Miguel vs San Miguel Beermen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Basketball Philippines Cup Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen
Result
82:107
02/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Philippine Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
42.8%
San Miguel Beermen
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 50.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barangay Ginebra San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • San Miguel Beermen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel Beermen than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel Beermen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.97)

    1.64
    (1.73)
    8%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 182.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • Barangay Ginebra San Miguel leads series 2-1. 4th leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barangay Ginebra won 3.
    • Barangay Ginebra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, San Miguel Beermen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Miguel Beermen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barangay Ginebra won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1981:2000. (average 99.1:100).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barangay Ginebra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 828:856. (average 103.5:107).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen were as follows:
    29.06.2025 San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 90:100
    27.06.2025 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen 83:100
    25.06.2025 San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 71:73
    25.04.2025 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen 93:104
    05.01.2025 San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 81:93
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)Meralco Bolts (8)2 : 0
    2Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (4)Converge FiberXers (5)2 : 0
    3Magnolia Hotshots (3)TNT Tropang Giga (6)1 : 2
    4NLEX Road Warriors (2)Rain or Shine Elasto Painters (7)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (4)2 : 2
    2TNT Tropang Giga (6)Rain or Shine Elasto Painters (7)3 : 1
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