San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
101:88
16/01/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PBA Philippine Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


San Miguel Beermen
54.3%
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 54.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Miguel Beermen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Miguel Beermen's performance.
  • Barangay Ginebra San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barangay Ginebra San Miguel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel Beermen than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Miguel Beermen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barangay Ginebra San Miguel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.89)

    2.04
    (1.8)
    6.3%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 189.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Miguel Beermen will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Barangay Ginebra will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barangay Ginebra (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2.5, OT - Barangay Ginebra (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5, OT - Barangay Ginebra (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, OT - Barangay Ginebra (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Barangay Ginebra (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5, OT - Barangay Ginebra (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Barangay Ginebra (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Barangay Ginebra (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, OT - Barangay Ginebra (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Barangay Ginebra (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 96:94.
  • Preview Facts
    • San Miguel Beermen leads series 3-2. 6th leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Miguel Beermen won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that San Miguel Beermen will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Miguel Beermen won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1953:1928. (average 97.7:96.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Miguel Beermen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 898:941. (average 89.8:94.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel were as follows:
    14.01.2026 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen 109:115
    11.01.2026 San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 91:105
    09.01.2026 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen 85:91
    07.01.2026 San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 93:84
    04.01.2026 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen 99:90
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)NLEX Road Warriors (8)2 : 0
    2Converge FiberXers (4)Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (5)1 : 2
    3TNT Tropang Giga (3)Magnolia Hotshots (6)2 : 0
    4Rain or Shine Elasto Painters (2)Meralco Bolts (7)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (5)4 : 2
    2TNT Tropang Giga (3)Meralco Bolts (7)4 : 1

    Final
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)TNT Tropang Giga (3)4 : 2