San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Philippines Cup San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
Result
100:93
09/07/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Philippine Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


San Miguel Beermen
58.6%
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Miguel Beermen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Barangay Ginebra San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel Beermen than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.63)

    2.29
    (2.2)
    7.7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 183.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Miguel Beermen (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: San Miguel Beermen will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:90.
  • Preview Facts
    • Series tied 3-3. 7th leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Miguel Beermen won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • San Miguel Beermen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that San Miguel Beermen will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Miguel Beermen won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2015:1953. (average 100.8:97.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Miguel Beermen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1067:1076. (average 97:97.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel were as follows:
    06.07.2025 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen 88:87
    04.07.2025 San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 103:92
    02.07.2025 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen 82:107
    29.06.2025 San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 90:100
    27.06.2025 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen 83:100
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)Meralco Bolts (8)2 : 0
    2Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (4)Converge FiberXers (5)2 : 0
    3Magnolia Hotshots (3)TNT Tropang Giga (6)1 : 2
    4NLEX Road Warriors (2)Rain or Shine Elasto Painters (7)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (4)4 : 3
    2TNT Tropang Giga (6)Rain or Shine Elasto Painters (7)4 : 2

    Final
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)TNT Tropang Giga (6)3 : 1