Result
2:0
22/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Corda S. 🟨,
- 28', Allende L. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
- 38', D. Renteria 🟨,
- 45+1', D. Renteria 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', Corda S. 🟨,
- 57', Mosca C. ↓, Grance I. ↑,
- 57', Nasta B. ↓, Sena F. ↑,
- 60', Perez F. 🟨,
- 64', Perez F. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
- 70', Sappa D. 🟨,
- 74', Dening E. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
- 74', Ferrero J. ↓, Lavezzi A. ↑,
- 80', Padilla M. 🟨,
- 81', Padilla M. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
- 81', Kalinski E. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
- 81', Kaprof J. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,
- 89', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ⚽,
- 90+4', Cravero T. ↓, Sosa D. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 0, Vazquez G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Quilmes 33.1% | Draw 35.3% | San Miguel 31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quilmes's form might have worsened.San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Quilmes - San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.79 ↑ (2.38) |
2.65 ↓ (3.2) |
2.94 ↑ (2.78) |
7.5% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Quilmes - San Miguel?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Miguel will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Miguel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Quilmes has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against San Miguel?
Quilmes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Miguel won against Quilmes?
San Miguel has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - San Miguel were as follows:
19.04.2025
San Miguel
-
Quilmes
2:2
27.10.2024
Quilmes
-
San Miguel
1:1
08.06.2024
San Miguel
-
Quilmes
1:0
Latest results of Quilmes
Latest results of San Miguel
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Bye | |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | San Miguel | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | Chaco For Ever | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | San Martin T. | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Patronato | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | Temperley | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | Deportivo Maipu | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Tristan Suarez | Agropecuario | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Gimnasia Jujuy | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | Deportivo Moron | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Gimnasia y Tiro | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | CA Estudiantes | Tristan Suarez | 0 : 0 |