Quilmes vs San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
93
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
02
Total shots
107
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
93
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Corda S. 🟨,
  • 28', Allende L. , Flores F. ,
  • 38', D. Renteria 🟨,
  • 45+1', D. Renteria 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', Corda S. 🟨,
  • 57', Mosca C. , Grance I. ,
  • 57', Nasta B. , Sena F. ,
  • 60', Perez F. 🟨,
  • 64', Perez F. , Capano J. ,
  • 70', Sappa D. 🟨,
  • 74', Dening E. , Salto C. ,
  • 74', Ferrero J. , Lavezzi A. ,
  • 80', Padilla M. 🟨,
  • 81', Padilla M. , Martinez R. ,
  • 81', Kalinski E. , Mino M. ,
  • 81', Kaprof J. , Vazquez G. ,
  • 89', Ramirez I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ,
  • 90+4', Cravero T. , Sosa D. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 0, Vazquez G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Quilmes
33.1%
Draw
35.3%
San Miguel
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 28.6% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 29.2% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quilmes's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Quilmes - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.38)
    2.65
    (3.2)
    2.94
    (2.78)
    7.5%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Quilmes - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Miguel will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Miguel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Quilmes has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - San Miguel were as follows:
    19.04.2025 San Miguel - Quilmes 2:2
    27.10.2024 Quilmes - San Miguel 1:1
    08.06.2024 San Miguel - Quilmes 1:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    16.08.2025 Los Andes - Quilmes 1:0
    30.07.2025 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 3:1
    25.07.2025 Colegiales - Quilmes 1:0
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Acassuso33008:269
    2San Miguel32104:137
    3Almirante Brown32103:127
    4Ferro31204:225
    5Deportivo Moron31204:225
    6Colon Santa Fe31203:215
    7Def. de Belgrano31203:215
    8All Boys31113:304
    9CA Mitre31112:204
    10Racing Cordoba31111:3-24
    11Godoy Cruz30302:203
    12Ciudad Bolivar30302:203
    13Deportivo Madryn30212:3-12
    14Los Andes30211:2-12
    15San Telmo30124:7-31
    16Central Norte30120:3-31
    17Chaco For Ever30122:6-41
    18CA Estudiantes30030:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia y Tiro33006:249
    2Nueva Chicago32103:037
    3Gimnasia Jujuy32014:406
    4San Martin T31203:215
    5Tristan Suarez31202:115
    6Chacarita Juniors31115:414
    7Midland31113:214
    8Deportivo Maipu31115:504
    9San Martin S.J31114:404
    10Atl. Rafaela31112:204
    11Atletico Atlanta31111:104
    12Temperley31111:104
    13Club A. Guemes31023:4-13
    14Colegiales31022:4-23
    15Agropecuario31022:4-23
    16Patronato30211:2-12
    17Quilmes30120:2-21
    18Almagro30120:3-31

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation