Result
2:0
22/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Corda S. 🟨,
- 28', Allende L. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
- 38', D. Renteria 🟨,
- 45+1', D. Renteria 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', Corda S. 🟨,
- 57', Mosca C. ↓, Grance I. ↑,
- 57', Nasta B. ↓, Sena F. ↑,
- 60', Perez F. 🟨,
- 64', Perez F. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
- 70', Sappa D. 🟨,
- 74', Dening E. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
- 74', Ferrero J. ↓, Lavezzi A. ↑,
- 80', Padilla M. 🟨,
- 81', Padilla M. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
- 81', Kalinski E. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
- 81', Kaprof J. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,
- 89', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ⚽,
- 90+4', Cravero T. ↓, Sosa D. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 0, Vazquez G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Quilmes
33.1% | Draw
35.3% | San Miguel
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quilmes's form might have worsened.San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Quilmes - San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.38) |
2.65 ↓
(3.2) |
2.94 ↑
(2.78) |
7.5%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Quilmes - San Miguel?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Miguel will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Miguel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Quilmes has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against San Miguel?
Quilmes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Miguel won against Quilmes?
San Miguel has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - San Miguel were as follows:
19.04.2025
San Miguel
-
Quilmes
2:2
27.10.2024
Quilmes
-
San Miguel
1:1
08.06.2024
San Miguel
-
Quilmes
1:0
Latest results of Quilmes
Latest results of San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 43 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 43 |
| 5 | Patronato | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 41 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | All Boys | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Colegiales | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 17:22 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Almagro | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ferro | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17:29 | -12 | 30 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 27 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 30:19 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 27:17 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Temperley | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | San Telmo | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 19:22 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 21:34 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 25 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 13:34 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
