Quilmes vs San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
93
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
02
Total shots
107
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
93
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Corda S. 🟨,
  • 28', Allende L. , Flores F. ,
  • 38', D. Renteria 🟨,
  • 45+1', D. Renteria 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', Corda S. 🟨,
  • 57', Mosca C. , Grance I. ,
  • 57', Nasta B. , Sena F. ,
  • 60', Perez F. 🟨,
  • 64', Perez F. , Capano J. ,
  • 70', Sappa D. 🟨,
  • 74', Dening E. , Salto C. ,
  • 74', Ferrero J. , Lavezzi A. ,
  • 80', Padilla M. 🟨,
  • 81', Padilla M. , Martinez R. ,
  • 81', Kalinski E. , Mino M. ,
  • 81', Kaprof J. , Vazquez G. ,
  • 89', Ramirez I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ,
  • 90+4', Cravero T. , Sosa D. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 0, Vazquez G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Quilmes
33.1%
Draw
35.3%
San Miguel
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 28.6% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 29.2% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quilmes's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Quilmes - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.38)
    2.65
    (3.2)
    2.94
    (2.78)
    7.5%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Quilmes - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Miguel will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Miguel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Quilmes has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - San Miguel were as follows:
    19.04.2025 San Miguel - Quilmes 2:2
    27.10.2024 Quilmes - San Miguel 1:1
    08.06.2024 San Miguel - Quilmes 1:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    16.08.2025 Los Andes - Quilmes 1:0
    30.07.2025 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 3:1
    25.07.2025 Colegiales - Quilmes 1:0
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron532010:4611
    2Racing Cordoba53115:5010
    3Def. de Belgrano52305:239
    4Acassuso53028:629
    5San Miguel52216:428
    6Almirante Brown52214:318
    7Colon Santa Fe52215:508
    8Godoy Cruz51405:417
    9All Boys52124:407
    10Los Andes51313:216
    11CA Mitre51313:306
    12Deportivo Madryn51225:415
    13Ciudad Bolivar50503:305
    14San Telmo51228:9-15
    15Ferro51225:6-15
    16Central Norte51221:3-25
    17Chaco For Ever50235:10-52
    18CA Estudiantes50050:8-80


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nueva Chicago53116:3310
    2Gimnasia y Tiro53117:5210
    3Atl. Rafaela53114:2210
    4Tristan Suarez52306:249
    5San Martin T52306:339
    6Gimnasia Jujuy53026:8-29
    7Midland52215:328
    8Temperley52213:218
    9Atletico Atlanta52125:417
    10Agropecuario52125:507
    11San Martin S.J51225:6-15
    12Club A. Guemes51225:6-15
    13Patronato51223:5-25
    14Almagro51222:4-25
    15Quilmes51133:304
    16Chacarita Juniors51135:7-24
    17Deportivo Maipu51136:9-34
    18Colegiales51043:8-53

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation