Quilmes vs San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Quilmes - San Miguel
Result
2:0
22/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
93
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
02
Total shots
107
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
93
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Corda S. 🟨,
  • 28', Allende L. , Flores F. ,
  • 38', D. Renteria 🟨,
  • 45+1', D. Renteria 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', Corda S. 🟨,
  • 57', Mosca C. , Grance I. ,
  • 57', Nasta B. , Sena F. ,
  • 60', Perez F. 🟨,
  • 64', Perez F. , Capano J. ,
  • 70', Sappa D. 🟨,
  • 74', Dening E. , Salto C. ,
  • 74', Ferrero J. , Lavezzi A. ,
  • 80', Padilla M. 🟨,
  • 81', Padilla M. , Martinez R. ,
  • 81', Kalinski E. , Mino M. ,
  • 81', Kaprof J. , Vazquez G. ,
  • 89', Ramirez I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ,
  • 90+4', Cravero T. , Sosa D. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 0, Vazquez G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Quilmes
33.1%
Draw
35.3%
San Miguel
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 28.6% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 29.2% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quilmes's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Quilmes - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.38)
    2.65
    (3.2)
    2.94
    (2.78)
    7.5%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Quilmes - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Miguel will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Miguel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Quilmes has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - San Miguel were as follows:
    19.04.2025 San Miguel - Quilmes 2:2
    27.10.2024 Quilmes - San Miguel 1:1
    08.06.2024 San Miguel - Quilmes 1:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    16.08.2025 Los Andes - Quilmes 1:0
    30.07.2025 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 3:1
    25.07.2025 Colegiales - Quilmes 1:0
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynBye
    2Gimnasia JujuySan Miguel0 : 0
    3Atletico AtlantaChaco For Ever3 : 0
    4Deportivo MoronSan Martin T.0 : 0
    5Estudiantes Rio CuartoPatronato2 : 1
    6Gimnasia y TiroTemperley2 : 0
    7CA EstudiantesDeportivo Maipu1 : 0
    8Tristan SuarezAgropecuario2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynGimnasia Jujuy0 : 1
    2Atletico AtlantaDeportivo Moron0 : 1
    3Estudiantes Rio CuartoGimnasia y Tiro0 : 0
    4CA EstudiantesTristan Suarez0 : 0