Quilmes vs San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
93
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
02
Total shots
107
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
93
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Corda S. 🟨,
  • 28', Allende L. , Flores F. ,
  • 38', D. Renteria 🟨,
  • 45+1', D. Renteria 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', Corda S. 🟨,
  • 57', Mosca C. , Grance I. ,
  • 57', Nasta B. , Sena F. ,
  • 60', Perez F. 🟨,
  • 64', Perez F. , Capano J. ,
  • 70', Sappa D. 🟨,
  • 74', Dening E. , Salto C. ,
  • 74', Ferrero J. , Lavezzi A. ,
  • 80', Padilla M. 🟨,
  • 81', Padilla M. , Martinez R. ,
  • 81', Kalinski E. , Mino M. ,
  • 81', Kaprof J. , Vazquez G. ,
  • 89', Ramirez I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ,
  • 90+4', Cravero T. , Sosa D. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 0, Vazquez G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Quilmes
33.1%
Draw
35.3%
San Miguel
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 28.6% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 29.2% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quilmes's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Quilmes - San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.38)
    2.65
    (3.2)
    2.94
    (2.78)
    7.5%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Quilmes - San Miguel?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Miguel will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%78.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Miguel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Quilmes has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - San Miguel were as follows:
    19.04.2025 San Miguel - Quilmes 2:2
    27.10.2024 Quilmes - San Miguel 1:1
    08.06.2024 San Miguel - Quilmes 1:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    16.08.2025 Los Andes - Quilmes 1:0
    30.07.2025 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 3:1
    25.07.2025 Colegiales - Quilmes 1:0
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9Agropecuario1142512:15-314
    10Quilmes1134411:8313
    11San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    12Patronato113446:10-413
    13Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    14Gimnasia y Tiro1133512:15-312
    15Chacarita Juniors113359:12-312
    16Colegiales113358:12-412
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation