Fossombrone vs Notaresco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group F Fossombrone - Notaresco
26/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 9

Chances of winning


Fossombrone
41%
Draw
28.5%
Notaresco
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 28.7% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 28.5% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Fossombrone have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Notaresco aligns with the current prediction.
  • Fossombrone - Notaresco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.2)
    3.22
    (3.15)
    3
    (2.98)
    9.2%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
    • Fossombrone is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Notaresco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fossombrone might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fossombrone won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fossombrone won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fossombrone - Notaresco were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Notaresco - Fossombrone 1:0
    27.10.2024 Fossombrone - Notaresco 1:1
    03.03.2024 Fossombrone - Notaresco 2:0
    28.10.2023 Notaresco - Fossombrone 0:0
    Latest results of Fossombrone
    19.10.2025 Ostia Mare - Fossombrone 3:1
    12.10.2025 Fossombrone - Teramo 0:1
    08.10.2025 Fossombrone - Ancona 0:1
    28.09.2025 Sora - Fossombrone 0:0
    Latest results of Notaresco
    19.10.2025 Notaresco - Maceratese 2:1
    08.10.2025 Notaresco - Termoli 2:0
    05.10.2025 Notaresco - Chieti 1:3
    28.09.2025 Giulianova - Notaresco 0:1
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare880017:51224
    2Ancona861112:4819
    3Teramo853015:7818
    4L Aquila852118:81017
    5Notaresco Calcio852114:8617
    6Calcio Chieti826012:9312
    7Atletico Ascoli832316:11511
    8Vigor Senigallia83237:9-211
    9Termoli824211:11010
    10Sora823313:1129
    11Maceratese83059:10-19
    12Unipomezia82339:14-59
    13Fossombrone81437:10-37
    14Giulianova81436:10-47
    15San Marino Calcio82156:12-67
    16Recanatese81168:17-94
    17Sammaurese81166:16-104
    18Castelfidardo80174:18-141

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation