Notaresco vs Fossombrone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group F Notaresco - Fossombrone
Result
1:0
02/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie D - Group F - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Pulsoni L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Notaresco
42.6%
Draw
28%
Fossombrone
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 29.3% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 28.5% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notaresco's performance.
  • Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fossombrone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notaresco that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fossombrone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Notaresco - Fossombrone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (3.06)
    3.22
    (3.1)
    3.06
    (2.22)
    11.2%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 6).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Fossombrone will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches San Nicolò won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams San Nicolò won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notaresco - Fossombrone were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Fossombrone - Notaresco 1:1
    03.03.2024 Fossombrone - Notaresco 2:0
    28.10.2023 Notaresco - Fossombrone 0:0
    Latest results of Notaresco
    23.02.2025 Notaresco - L Aquila 1:0
    09.02.2025 Notaresco - Recanatese 1:1
    26.01.2025 Notaresco - Civitanovese 1:2
    19.01.2025 Sambenedettese - Notaresco 3:2
    Latest results of Fossombrone
    23.02.2025 Fossombrone - Recanatese 4:1
    19.01.2025 Termoli - Fossombrone 0:1
    12.01.2025 Fossombrone - Chieti 1:1
    05.01.2025 Teramo - Fossombrone 1:0
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare55008:2615
    2Notaresco Calcio541011:4713
    3Ancona54018:4412
    4L Aquila532011:5611
    5Teramo532010:4611
    6Unipomezia52217:618
    7Calcio Chieti51408:717
    8Fossombrone51405:417
    9Termoli52127:707
    10Maceratese52035:506
    11Sora51226:605
    12Giulianova51225:8-35
    13Recanatese51137:10-34
    14Vigor Senigallia51133:7-44
    15San Marino Calcio51044:8-43
    16Sammaurese51045:10-53
    17Atletico Ascoli50235:10-52
    18Castelfidardo50051:9-80

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation