Result
26/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 9
Chances of winning
Fossombrone
41% | Draw
28.5% | Notaresco
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Fossombrone have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-0.3%)The ML Model estimate for Notaresco aligns with the current prediction.
Fossombrone - Notaresco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.2) |
3.22 ↑
(3.15) |
3 ↑
(2.98) |
9.2%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
- Fossombrone is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Notaresco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Fossombrone might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fossombrone won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fossombrone won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fossombrone won against Notaresco?
Fossombrone has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notaresco won against Fossombrone?
Notaresco has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fossombrone - Notaresco were as follows:
02.03.2025
Notaresco
-
Fossombrone
1:0
27.10.2024
Fossombrone
-
Notaresco
1:1
03.03.2024
Fossombrone
-
Notaresco
2:0
28.10.2023
Notaresco
-
Fossombrone
0:0
Latest results of Fossombrone
Latest results of Notaresco
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ostiamare | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17:5 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Ancona | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Teramo | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | L Aquila | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Calcio Chieti | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Termoli | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Sora | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Unipomezia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Fossombrone | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Giulianova | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Sammaurese | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 18 | Castelfidardo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:18 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
