Result
1:2
19/07/2025 at 13:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Porto J. ⚽,
- 25', Cocimano S. ↓, Zurbriggen J. ↑,
- 31', Tello F. 🟨,
- 40', Cesar L. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Costantino I. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Kubiszyn S. 🟨,
- 52', Livera J. 🟨,
- 63', Sosa R. ↓, Ojeda L. ↑,
- 68', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Cabrera J. M. ⚽,
- 90+1', Vazquez F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Telmo
32% | Draw
33.8% | Deportivo Morón
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
San Telmo - Deportivo Morón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↑
(2.43) |
2.73 ↓
(2.9) |
2.72 ↓
(3) |
8%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Telmo - Deportivo Morón?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 3.
- San Telmo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Deportivo Morón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, San Telmo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Telmo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has San Telmo won against Deportivo Morón?
San Telmo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Morón won against San Telmo?
Deportivo Morón has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Telmo - Deportivo Morón were as follows:
15.03.2025
Deportivo Morón
-
San Telmo
1:1
21.07.2024
San Telmo
-
Deportivo Morón
1:1
03.03.2024
Deportivo Morón
-
San Telmo
1:2
16.10.2023
Deportivo Morón
-
San Telmo
1:2
04.06.2023
San Telmo
-
Deportivo Morón
2:1
Latest results of San Telmo
Latest results of Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 42 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Patronato | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 25:24 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Almagro | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Colegiales | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 15:21 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Ferro | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 25 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 26 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 21 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 28:12 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 24 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Chacarita Juniors | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chaco For Ever | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 28:19 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | Temperley | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 41 |
| 7 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 26:18 | 8 | 39 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 17:19 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Def. de Belgrano | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 30 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 28 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 14:42 | -28 | 15 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 9:30 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
