San Telmo vs Deportivo Morón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional San Telmo - Deportivo Morón
Result
1:2
19/07/2025 at 13:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
68
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
49
Corner Kicks
23
Goalkeeper Saves
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Porto J. ,
  • 25', Cocimano S. , Zurbriggen J. ,
  • 31', Tello F. 🟨,
  • 40', Cesar L. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Costantino I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Kubiszyn S. 🟨,
  • 52', Livera J. 🟨,
  • 63', Sosa R. , Ojeda L. ,
  • 68', Sanguinetti F. , Baez F. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Cabrera J. M. ,
  • 90+1', Vazquez F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Telmo
32%
Draw
33.8%
Deportivo Morón
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 31.6% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 31.2% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • San Telmo - Deportivo Morón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (2.43)
    2.73
    (2.9)
    2.72
    (3)
    8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for San Telmo - Deportivo Morón?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 3.
    • San Telmo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Deportivo Morón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, San Telmo has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Telmo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Telmo - Deportivo Morón were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Deportivo Morón - San Telmo 1:1
    21.07.2024 San Telmo - Deportivo Morón 1:1
    03.03.2024 Deportivo Morón - San Telmo 1:2
    16.10.2023 Deportivo Morón - San Telmo 1:2
    04.06.2023 San Telmo - Deportivo Morón 2:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Morón
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynBye
    2Gimnasia JujuySan Miguel0 : 0
    3Atletico AtlantaChaco For Ever3 : 0
    4Deportivo MoronSan Martin T.0 : 0
    5Estudiantes Rio CuartoPatronato2 : 1
    6Gimnasia y TiroTemperley2 : 0
    7CA EstudiantesDeportivo Maipu1 : 0
    8Tristan SuarezAgropecuario2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynGimnasia Jujuy0 : 1
    2Atletico AtlantaDeportivo Moron0 : 1
    3Estudiantes Rio CuartoGimnasia y Tiro0 : 0
    4CA EstudiantesTristan Suarez0 : 0