San Telmo vs Deportivo Morón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional San Telmo - Deportivo Morón
Result
1:2
19/07/2025 at 13:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
68
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
49
Corner Kicks
23
Goalkeeper Saves
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Porto J. ,
  • 25', Cocimano S. , Zurbriggen J. ,
  • 31', Tello F. 🟨,
  • 40', Cesar L. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Costantino I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Kubiszyn S. 🟨,
  • 52', Livera J. 🟨,
  • 63', Sosa R. , Ojeda L. ,
  • 68', Sanguinetti F. , Baez F. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Cabrera J. M. ,
  • 90+1', Vazquez F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Telmo
32%
Draw
33.8%
Deportivo Morón
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 31.6% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 31.2% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • San Telmo - Deportivo Morón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (2.43)
    2.73
    (2.9)
    2.72
    (3)
    8%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for San Telmo - Deportivo Morón?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 3.
    • San Telmo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Deportivo Morón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, San Telmo has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Telmo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Telmo - Deportivo Morón were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Deportivo Morón - San Telmo 1:1
    21.07.2024 San Telmo - Deportivo Morón 1:1
    03.03.2024 Deportivo Morón - San Telmo 1:2
    16.10.2023 Deportivo Morón - San Telmo 1:2
    04.06.2023 San Telmo - Deportivo Morón 2:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Morón
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn ✔ 341612645:281760
    2Atletico Atlanta ✔ 341413731:28355
    3Tristan Suarez ✔ 341216633:231052
    4Gimnasia y Tiro ✔ 341312934:231151
    5San Miguel ✔ 341214832:28450
    6San Martin T. ✔ 341213932:29349
    7Deportivo Maipu ✔ 3412121034:30448
    8Patronato ✔ 3412121031:28348
    9Colegiales341381326:26047
    10Racing Cordoba3410111338:45-741
    11Ferro3410111324:33-941
    12Los Andes3310101328:28040
    13Club A. Guemes348161028:32-440
    14Quilmes348141230:32-238
    15All Boys33717923:25-238
    16Almagro347141324:31-735
    17Arsenal Sarandi ✔ 348101638:47-934
    18Alvarado ✔ 346151318:33-1533


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza341712535:181763
    2Estudiantes Rio Cuarto341612635:221360
    3CA Estudiantes34178941:221959
    4Deportivo Moron341513636:191758
    5Gimnasia Jujuy ✔ 341512736:201657
    6Temperley341413730:22855
    7Agropecuario341591043:34954
    8Chaco For Ever341581134:26853
    9Chacarita Juniors341213937:29849
    10Def. de Belgrano3412121030:26448
    11Nueva Chicago3410111327:33-641
    12San Telmo3410111331:42-1141
    13CA Mitre3410101428:31-340
    14Almirante Brown348121428:38-1036
    15Central Norte341061827:41-1436
    16Colon Santa Fe34952022:39-1732
    17Talleres (R.E) ✔ 34652317:40-2323
    18Defensores Unidos ✔ 343121917:52-3521

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Deportivo Madryn is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Super final )
    Atletico Atlanta is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Tristan Suarez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Gimnasia y Tiro is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    San Martin T. is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Deportivo Maipu is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Arsenal Sarandi is Relegated to
    Alvarado is Relegated to
    Gimnasia Jujuy is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
    Defensores Unidos is Relegated to