Result
1:0
05/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Argentina | LPF Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
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| 9 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Pollacchi L. 🟨,
- 32', Paredes G. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
- 45+2', Uriburu R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Uriburu R. ↓, Britez E. ↑,
- 59', Henriquez F. ↓, Gamarra R. ↑,
- 59', Baldunciel L. ↓, Batallini M. ↑,
- 61', Kubiszyn S. ↓, Ramirez T. ↑,
- 67', Contreras E. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
- 67', Fagundez F. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
- 67', Bittolo M. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
- 70', Ledesma M. I. ↓, Laba M. ↑,
- 74', Flores F. 🟨,
- 74', Batallini M. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 0, Olivares J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', Olivares J. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 87', Iritier J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Morón 59.6% | Draw 27.5% | San Telmo 12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Deportivo Morón - San Telmo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↓ (1.62) |
3.39 ↑ (3.35) |
7.14 ↑ (6.38) |
8.1% (7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Morón - San Telmo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 1.
- Deportivo Morón is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- San Telmo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportivo Morón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Deportivo Morón is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Deportivo Morón will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Morón won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Morón won against San Telmo?
Deportivo Morón has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Telmo won against Deportivo Morón?
San Telmo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Morón - San Telmo were as follows:
19.07.2025
San Telmo
-
Deportivo Morón
1:2
15.03.2025
Deportivo Morón
-
San Telmo
1:1
21.07.2024
San Telmo
-
Deportivo Morón
1:1
03.03.2024
Deportivo Morón
-
San Telmo
1:2
16.10.2023
Deportivo Morón
-
San Telmo
1:2
Latest results of Deportivo Morón
Latest results of San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colon Santa Fe | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Def. de Belgrano | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Godoy Cruz | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Los Andes | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | San Miguel | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Racing Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Ciudad Bolivar | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Ferro | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Acassuso | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | All Boys | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | CA Estudiantes | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | CA Mitre | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | San Telmo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 | Almirante Brown | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Chaco For Ever | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 5 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Nueva Chicago | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Temperley | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Midland | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Quilmes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:7 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Club A. Guemes | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Almagro | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Chacarita Juniors | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Patronato | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | San Martin S.J | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Atletico Atlanta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Deportivo Maipu | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Colegiales | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation