Esteghlal vs Sanat Naft – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/05/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Hazfi Cup - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', Khorasani M. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Koushki A. , Rezaeian R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 2 - 0, Juma M. ,

Chances of winning


Esteghlal
66.1%
Draw
23.8%
Sanat Naft
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.2% 23.5% 10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 20.2% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Sanat Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esteghlal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanat Naft than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Esteghlal - Sanat Naft Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.4)
    3.82
    (3.95)
    9.03
    (9)
    10.2%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 4.
    • In recent matches, Esteghlal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sanat Naft is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Esteghlal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Esteghlal is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:9. (average 1.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:5. (average 2.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Esteghlal - Sanat Naft were as follows:
    16.02.2024 Esteghlal - Sanat Naft 1:0
    10.08.2023 Sanat Naft - Esteghlal 0:3
    05.05.2023 Esteghlal - Sanat Naft 1:1
    25.12.2022 Sanat Naft - Esteghlal 0:1
    Latest results of Esteghlal
    15.05.2025 Sepahan - Esteghlal 3:1
    02.05.2025 Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak 5:1
    26.04.2025 Esteghlal - Paykan 1:0
    21.04.2025 Esteghlal - Havadar 2:2
    Latest results of Sanat Naft
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1Foolad HormozganChooka Talesh2 : 0
    2Esteghlal F.C.Padyab2 : 1
    3Havadar SCBargh3 : 1
    4SaipaNassaji Mazandaran1 : 0
    5Gol GoharShenavarsazi Qeshm1 : 0
    6Mes RafsanjanDamash Gilan1 : 0
    7Aluminium ArakMalavan1 : 2
    8Mes Shahr BabakFajr Sepasi1 : 0
    9Besat KermanshahNaft Gachsaran0 : 1
    10PaykanShahrdari Noshahr2 : 0
    11Esteghlal KhuzestanFoolad0 : 3
    12ChadormaluZob Ahan1 : 0
    13Mes KermanSepahan0 : 1
    14Kheybar KhorramabadKIA FA2 : 1
    15Shams Azar QazvinNiroye Zamini3 : 2
    16TractorPersepolis2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Foolad HormozganEsteghlal F.C.0 : 2
    2Havadar SCSaipa2 : 3
    3Gol GoharMes Rafsanjan1 : 0
    4MalavanMes Shahr Babak3 : 0
    5Naft GachsaranPaykan0 : 1
    6FooladChadormalu2 : 0
    7SepahanKheybar Khorramabad1 : 3
    8Shams Azar QazvinTractor