Haugesund vs Sandefjord – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
29/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eliteserien - Round 23
  • Referee: Bodding E. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.96
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
79% (360/457)83% (443/534)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.461.37
Total shots
915
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
79% (360/457)83% (443/534)
Long passes
41% (28/69)49% (37/75)
Passes in final third
64% (67/104)67% (100/150)
Crosses
18% (2/11)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.23
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1318
Tackles
40% (4/10)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5951
Clearances
3323
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.371.46
Goals prevented
-1.63-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', Cheng C. 🟨,
  • 9', Koskela M. 🟨,
  • 16', Diarra S. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Cheng C. ,
  • 32', 0 - 2, Sigurdarson S. I. , Cheng C. (A),
  • 45+6', 1 - 2, Diarra S. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', 2 - 2, Nyhammer T. , Grindhaug A. (A),
  • 62', Hope M. , Camara I. ,
  • 62', Bizoza P. , Eide L. ,
  • 63', Mettler L. 🟨,
  • 74', Diarra S. , Karlsen H. V. ,
  • 81', 2 - 3, Pedersen F. ,
  • 86', Nyhammer T. , Jakobsen F. A. ,
  • 87', Ottosson F. 🟨,
  • 88', Dzabic R. , Pettersen E. ,
  • 89', Mettler L. , Egeli V. ,
  • 90+3', Patoulidis E. , Mathisen S. ,

Chances of winning


Haugesund
13.4%
Draw
18.2%
Sandefjord
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.3% 20.8% 59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1% 20.6% 60.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haugesund's form might have worsened.
  • Sandefjord has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sandefjord's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haugesund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sandefjord, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Haugesund - Sandefjord Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.13
    (4.9)
    5.21
    (4.55)
    1.39
    (1.58)
    5.1%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Haugesund - Sandefjord?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Haugesund will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Sandefjord will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sandefjord: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sandefjord (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Haugesund (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Haugesund (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sandefjord (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haugesund won 2.
    • Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.
    • Sandefjord may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sandefjord is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Haugesund: Bondhus A. (Broken collarbone) Espejord R. (Thigh Injury) Samuelsen M. (Hip Injury) Solheim V. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Sandefjord: Gjone M. (Red Card) Mork S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sandefjord: Loftesnes-Bjune F. (Knock) Melchior M. (Knock)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Haugesund won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Haugesund won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Haugesund - Sandefjord were as follows:
    22.06.2025 Sandefjord - Haugesund 4:0
    28.07.2024 Sandefjord - Haugesund 4:3
    26.05.2024 Haugesund - Sandefjord 2:1
    27.08.2023 Sandefjord - Haugesund 0:0
    11.06.2023 Haugesund - Sandefjord 3:2
    Latest results of Haugesund
    24.09.2025 Haugesund - Rosenborg 1:4
    21.09.2025 Kristiansund - Haugesund 2:0
    14.09.2025 Haugesund - Rosenborg 0:3
    31.08.2025 Fredrikstad - Haugesund 2:2
    24.08.2025 Haugesund - Vålerenga 2:3
    Latest results of Sandefjord
    20.09.2025 Sandefjord - Brann 0:3
    17.09.2025 Tromsdalen - Sandefjord 6:1
    14.09.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord 2:1
    31.08.2025 Sandefjord - Bodø Glimt 1:2
    17.08.2025 Kristiansund - Sandefjord 2:2
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aalesund00000:000
    2Brann00000:000
    3Molde00000:000
    4Fredrikstad00000:000
    5HamKam00000:000
    6Tromso00000:000
    7Rosenborg00000:000
    8Viking00000:000
    9Valerenga00000:000
    10Bodo/Glimt00000:000
    11Lillestrom00000:000
    12Sandefjord00000:000
    13Sarpsborg 0800000:000
    14Start00000:000
    15KFUM Oslo00000:000
    16Kristiansund00000:000

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