Result
3:2
26/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 15
- Referee: Sletner S. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (454/521) | 83% (337/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (454/521) | 83% (337/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 66% (39/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (95/132) | 80% (127/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (15/16) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -1.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Patoulidis E. ⚽, Smajlovic Z. (A),
- 31', Wichne E. 🟨,
- 45+5', 2 - 0, Sigurdarson S. I. ⚽, Mork S. (A),
- 45+7', Tebo Uchenna F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Berget J. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
- 55', Kristiansen S. 🟨,
- 59', Patoulidis E. 🟨,
- 61', Karlsbakk D. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 1, Karlsbakk D. (Pen),
- 65', Dunsby J. ↓, Jemal E. ↑,
- 68', Wichne E. ↓, Reinhardsen P. ↑,
- 68', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Job D. ↑,
- 76', Jeahze M. ↓, Hiim A. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 2, Karlsbakk D. (Pen),
- 83', Hadaya E. 🟨,
- 84', Bruseth H. 🟨,
- 87', Tangen H. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
- 89', Hadaya E. ↓, Gronneberg A. ↑,
- 90', Patoulidis E. ↓, Egeli V. ↑,
- 90', Mettler L. ↓, Dzabic R. ↑,
- 90+11', Cheng C. ↓, Tibell D. ↑,
- 90+14', 3 - 2, Dzabic R. ⚽, Ottosson F. (A),
- 90+15', Dzabic R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sandefjord
46.6% | Draw
23.6% | Sarpsborg 08
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sandefjord has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Sandefjord - Sarpsborg 08 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.13) |
3.98
(3.98) |
3.18 ↓
(3.23) |
5.7%
(3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sandefjord - Sarpsborg 08?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Sandefjord will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sandefjord: 38.5% – 81.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sandefjord (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sandefjord won 2.
- Recent performances by Sandefjord have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sarpsborg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sandefjord may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sandefjord is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sarpsborg: Sher A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sandefjord: Pettersen S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F.
(Thigh Injury)
Hiim A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sandefjord won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:43. (average 1.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sandefjord won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sandefjord won against Sarpsborg 08?
Sandefjord has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Sandefjord?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sandefjord - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
07.05.2025
Sarpsborg 08
-
Sandefjord
3:1
04.08.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Sandefjord
2:1
12.05.2024
Sandefjord
-
Sarpsborg 08
4:1
27.01.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Sandefjord
2:0
06.08.2023
Sandefjord
-
Sarpsborg 08
5:1
Latest results of Sandefjord
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Viking | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 47:26 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 44:17 | 27 | 39 |
| 3 | Brann | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31:25 | 6 | 33 |
| 4 | Tromso | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 29:23 | 6 | 33 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:21 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Sandefjord | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 33:24 | 9 | 27 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:20 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | 9 | 25 |
| 9 | Molde | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 22 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Bryne | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 | Kristiansund | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:31 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 | HamKam | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18:29 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 17 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 21:37 | -16 | 9 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8:46 | -38 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
