Result
1:0
04/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Football Asia, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (201/314) | 76% (411/538) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (201/314) | 76% (411/538) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 21% (14/66) | 43% (30/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (40/86) | 64% (94/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Arai N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kim Kang-Guk ↓, Park Sang-Hyeok ↑,
- 46', Arai N. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
- 46', Suga D. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
- 46', Maeda N. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
- 58', Germain V. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 61', Sasaki S. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 0, Kato M. ⚽,
- 66', Lee You-Hyeon 🟨,
- 69', Tuci M. 🟨,
- 69', Sasaki S. 🟨,
- 71', Kato M. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
- 75', Kim Gun-Hee ↓, Lee Sang-Heon ↑,
- 75', Park H. ↓, Kim Min-Jun ↑,
- 85', Song Jun-Seok ↓, Hong Chul ↑,
- 85', Kang Joon-Hyuck ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑,
- 90+6', Kawabe H. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mr2t627s
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
64.9% | Draw
21.6% | Gangwon
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Gangwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gangwon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.35) |
4.31 ↓
(4.83) |
6.88 ↓
(7.16) |
7.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gangwon?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Gangwon will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Gangwon (1.94) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Hiroshima is the clear favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Gangwon?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gangwon won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Gangwon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gangwon were as follows:
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Gangwon
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
