Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

J1 League - Round 12
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.50
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
76% (314/413)	78% (370/473)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.66	0.06
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
9	8
Shots outside the Box
0	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
19	18
Accurate through passes
2	1
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
11	10
Passes
76% (314/413)	78% (370/473)
Long passes
32% (24/74)	44% (30/68)
Passes in final third
67% (93/138)	62% (99/159)
Crosses
33% (3/9)	21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.03	0.63
Throw-ins
21	23
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
56% (9/16)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
57	49
Clearances
30	25
Interceptions
10	3
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.06	1.66
Goals prevented
0.06	0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Shiotani T. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
55', Suga D. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Kaneko T. ⚽, Matheus Savio (A),
67', Nakano S. 🟨,
76', Matheus Savio ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
76', Kaneko T. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
79', Inoue S. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
82', Kawabe H. ↓, Matsumoto H. ↑,
83', Kato M. ↓, Inoue A. ↑,
84', Ishihara H. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
34.1%

Draw
30.3%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

28.6%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

29%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.01)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	2.63 ↑ (2.36)	6.4% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 11.9% – 76.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Urawa won 2.
Urawa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Hiroshima is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Urawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Urawa won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:27 (average 1.5:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Urawa won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:10 (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:

10.11.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:0

23.02.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:0

13.08.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1

31.05.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:1

01.10.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Urawa Red Diamonds 4:1

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

20.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga 2:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

20.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama 0:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka 2:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	35	20	7	8	53:29	24	67
2	Kashiwa Reysol	35	18	12	5	55:33	22	66
3	Kyoto	35	17	11	7	59:37	22	62
4	Vissel Kobe	35	18	8	9	45:30	15	62
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	35	17	8	10	39:26	13	59
6	Machida	35	16	9	10	49:35	14	57
7	Kawasaki Frontale	35	15	11	9	65:50	15	56
8	Urawa Reds	35	14	11	10	40:36	4	53
9	Gamba Osaka	35	16	5	14	48:52	-4	53
10	Cerezo Osaka	35	13	10	12	54:50	4	49
11	FC Tokyo	35	12	9	14	39:47	-8	45
12	Avispa Fukuoka	35	11	11	13	33:37	-4	44
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	35	11	11	13	39:44	-5	44
14	Verdy	35	11	9	15	22:36	-14	42
15	Okayama	35	11	8	16	31:40	-9	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	35	10	10	15	42:52	-10	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	35	10	7	18	39:44	-5	37
18	Yokohama FC	35	8	8	19	23:41	-18	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	35	6	8	21	29:59	-30	26
20	Albirex Niigata ✔	35	4	11	20	32:58	-26	23

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League