Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

J1 League - Round 12
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.50
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
76% (314/413)	78% (370/473)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.66	0.06
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
9	8
Shots outside the Box
0	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
19	18
Accurate through passes
2	1
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
11	10
Passes
76% (314/413)	78% (370/473)
Long passes
32% (24/74)	44% (30/68)
Passes in final third
67% (93/138)	62% (99/159)
Crosses
33% (3/9)	21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.03	0.63
Throw-ins
21	23
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
56% (9/16)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
57	49
Clearances
30	25
Interceptions
10	3
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.06	1.66
Goals prevented
0.06	0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Shiotani T. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
55', Suga D. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Kaneko T. ⚽, Matheus Savio (A),
67', Nakano S. 🟨,
76', Matheus Savio ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
76', Kaneko T. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
79', Inoue S. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
82', Kawabe H. ↓, Matsumoto H. ↑,
83', Kato M. ↓, Inoue A. ↑,
84', Ishihara H. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
34.1%

Draw
30.3%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

28.6%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

29%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.01)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	2.63 ↑ (2.36)	6.4% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 11.9% – 76.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Urawa won 2.
Urawa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Hiroshima is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Urawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Urawa won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:27 (average 1.5:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Urawa won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:10 (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:

10.11.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:0

23.02.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:0

13.08.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1

31.05.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:1

01.10.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Urawa Red Diamonds 4:1

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

20.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga 2:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

20.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama 0:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka 2:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	24	10	8	6	32:24	8	38
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	24	8	8	8	21:23	-2	32
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League