Result
1:1
17/02/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 25
- Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (399/487) | 76% (276/364) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 65% (88/136) | 62% (49/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 20% (3/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 88% (7/8) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Kurukalip C. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
- 21', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Camacho J. (A),
- 30', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Eren F. ↓, Begic A. ↑,
- 46', Ercelik H. ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,
- 46', Kappel L. ↓, Yazar A. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Ogundu U. ⚽, Begic A. (A),
- 60', Yazar A. 🟨,
- 70', Gurpuz G. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
- 70', Camacho J. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
- 71', Wriedt K. ↓, Sambou B. ↑,
- 79', Celebi A. ↓, Giritlioglu C. ↑,
- 80', Doh M. 🟨,
- 81', Serginho ↓, Gray A. ↑,
- 81', Dursun S. ↓, Ulvan T. ↑,
- 85', Dovedan N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Demir Y. E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Yardimci N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
67.7% | Draw
21.2% | Şanlıurfaspor
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fatih Karagümrükspor's performance.Şanlıurfaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Şanlıurfaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fatih Karagümrükspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şanlıurfaspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Şanlıurfaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Şanlıurfaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.58) |
4.32 ↑
(3.96) |
8.25 ↑
(5.34) |
9.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Şanlıurfaspor?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Şanlıurfaspor will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 69.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 5.
- Karagümrük is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Şanlıurfaspor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Karagümrük is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Şanlıurfaspor: Awuku P.
(Red Card)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 2:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Şanlıurfaspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Şanlıurfaspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Şanlıurfaspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Şanlıurfaspor were as follows:
23.09.2024
Şanlıurfaspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:3
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Şanlıurfaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
