Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Şanlıurfaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/02/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul).

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 25
Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.33	0.49
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Goal Attempts
15	6
Shots on Goal
6	1
Shots off Goal
4	4
Blocked Shots
5	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
4	1
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	5
Free Kicks
14	15
Offsides
4	1
Fouls
15	14
Yellow Cards
4	2
Throw-ins
23	20
Touches in the Opposition Box
21	15
Passes
82% (399/487)	76% (276/364)
Passes in the final third
65% (88/136)	62% (49/79)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	20% (3/15)
Tackles
57% (12/21)	88% (7/8)
Clearances Total
24	32
Interceptions
12	10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Kurukalip C. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
21', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Camacho J. (A),
30', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Eren F. ↓, Begic A. ↑,
46', Ercelik H. ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,
46', Kappel L. ↓, Yazar A. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Ogundu U. ⚽, Begic A. (A),
60', Yazar A. 🟨,
70', Gurpuz G. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
70', Camacho J. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
71', Wriedt K. ↓, Sambou B. ↑,
79', Celebi A. ↓, Giritlioglu C. ↑,
80', Doh M. 🟨,
81', Serginho ↓, Gray A. ↑,
81', Dursun S. ↓, Ulvan T. ↑,
85', Dovedan N. 🟨,
90+4', Demir Y. E. 🟨,
90+5', Yardimci N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Fatih Karagümrükspor
67.7%

Draw
21.2%

Şanlıurfaspor
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

23.6%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

22.5%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fatih Karagümrükspor's performance.

Şanlıurfaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Şanlıurfaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fatih Karagümrükspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şanlıurfaspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Şanlıurfaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Şanlıurfaspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.58)	4.32 ↑ (3.96)	8.25 ↑ (5.34)	9.2% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Şanlıurfaspor?

Users Predictions: Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 5.
Karagümrük is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Şanlıurfaspor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Karagümrük is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Şanlıurfaspor: Awuku P. (Red Card)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 2:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Şanlıurfaspor?

Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Şanlıurfaspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?

Şanlıurfaspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Şanlıurfaspor were as follows:

23.09.2024 Şanlıurfaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:3

Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor

13.02.2025 Ankaragücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor 0:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor 1:0 ✺

06.02.2025 Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 4:1 ✺

02.02.2025 Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:2 ✺

26.01.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çorum 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Şanlıurfaspor

13.02.2025 Şanlıurfaspor - Sakaryaspor 0:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Bandırmaspor - Şanlıurfaspor 3:2 ✺

02.02.2025 Şanlıurfaspor - İstanbulspor 1:0 ✺

24.01.2025 Umraniyespor - Şanlıurfaspor 1:0 ✺

17.01.2025 Şanlıurfaspor - Ankaragücü 0:1 ✺

Turkish First League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	32	20	9	3	74:23	51	69
2	Amedspor	32	20	7	5	68:32	36	67
3	Erokspor	32	18	9	5	73:30	43	63
4	Corum	32	19	5	8	53:34	19	62
5	Bodrumspor	32	17	6	9	67:35	32	57
6	Pendikspor	32	14	12	6	49:27	22	54
7	Bandirmaspor	32	13	9	10	42:33	9	48
8	Keciorengucu	32	12	11	9	63:40	23	47
9	Sivasspor	32	12	11	9	40:31	9	47
10	Igdir FK	32	12	9	11	40:44	-4	45
11	Vanspor FK	32	11	10	11	42:35	7	43
12	Manisa FK	32	12	7	13	46:52	-6	43
13	Boluspor	32	12	6	14	50:44	6	42
14	Umraniyespor	32	11	6	15	38:41	-3	39
15	Sariyer	32	11	6	15	34:41	-7	39
16	Istanbulspor AS	32	9	12	11	38:48	-10	39
17	Serik Spor	32	10	5	17	38:60	-22	35
18	Sakaryaspor	32	8	8	16	41:56	-15	32
19	Hatayspor	32	0	7	25	22:88	-66	7
20	Adana Demirspor ✔	32	0	3	29	17:141	-124	-57

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to