Result
3:1
22/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Quijada C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 90+12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+12', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+12', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Montehermoso
24.6% | Draw
29.7% | Santa Amalia
45.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montehermoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Santa Amalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montehermoso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Montehermoso - Santa Amalia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.69 ↑
(3.12) |
3.06 ↓
(3.18) |
1.99 ↓
(2.15) |
10%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).
- Montehermoso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Santa Amalia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Montehermoso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Santa Amalia has had a series of home games.
- Santa Amalia could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montehermoso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Montehermoso won against Santa Amalia?
Montehermoso has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Amalia won against Montehermoso?
Santa Amalia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montehermoso - Santa Amalia were as follows:
12.10.2025
Santa Amalia
-
Montehermoso
1:0
Latest results of Montehermoso
Latest results of Santa Amalia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 69:21 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 61:27 | 34 | 68 |
| 3 | Azuaga | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 53:30 | 23 | 62 |
| 4 | Moralo | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 61 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 56 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Puebla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 12 | Llerenense | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 28:55 | -27 | 30 |
| 16 | Diocesano | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29:59 | -30 | 29 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 24:44 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
